Assessing the Impact of Climate and Change and Variability on Irish Potato (Solanum Tuberosum L. ) Production from 1995 to 2015 in Tubah Sub Division, North West Region, Cameroon

Muh Blast Naintoh, M. Wantim, Ayonghe Samuel Ndonwi
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Abstract

Climate change and variability are common phenomena that affect crop productivity globally but with significant differences between different regions of the world. Studies of the impacts of these phenomena on Irish potato –Solanum tuberosum L.-production within Tubah Sub-Division based on records of precipitation and temperatures from 1995 to 2015, indicated an increasing mean annual temperature rate of 0.09 0C per year and a slight  increasing annual rainfall rate of 25.8 mm per year. Potato yields within the same period equally increased by 1.26 t/ha per year until 2012 when the yields started decreasing due to a correspondingly marked  increase in both temperature and rainfall. The drop in potato yields has also been attributed to disease infestation such as potato blight and rot which are favoured by the increases in temperature and rainfall. Statistical correlation and regression analyses of these data revealed that the potato yields showed weak positive correlations with temperature (R= 0.02) and with rainfall (R= 0.12). Results from questionnaire survey, focus group discussions and semistructured interviews indicated that the potato crop (63 %) of most farmers were negatively affected by climate change and  variability through the increased sporadic rainfall which enhanced potato blight and rot. Some adaptation strategies to these climatic factors are already being practised by most farmers (81 %) who are making use of a combination of fertilizers, pesticides, improved seeds and irrigation  practices to remedy the situation although further approaches such as the use of resistant species are necessary towards improving on the dwindling potato yields. Keywords : Climate, Change, Variability, Tubah Sub Division, Irish Potato, Adaptation Strategies, Cameroon.
气候变化和变异对爱尔兰马铃薯(Solanum Tuberosum L.)的影响1995年至2015年在喀麦隆西北地区Tubah分部进行生产
气候变化和变率是影响全球作物生产力的常见现象,但在世界不同区域之间存在显著差异。根据1995 - 2015年的降水和温度记录,研究了这些现象对Tubah小区内爱尔兰马铃薯-Solanum tuberosum l .生产的影响,表明年平均气温增加0.09℃/年,年降雨量略有增加25.8 mm /年。同期马铃薯产量平均每年增加1.26吨/公顷,直到2012年,由于温度和降雨量的显著增加,产量开始下降。马铃薯产量的下降还归因于马铃薯枯萎病和腐病等病害的侵袭,这些病害是由于温度和降雨量的增加而发生的。统计相关分析和回归分析表明,马铃薯产量与温度(R= 0.02)和降雨量(R= 0.12)呈弱正相关。问卷调查、焦点小组讨论和半结构化访谈的结果表明,大多数农民的马铃薯作物(63%)受到气候变化和多变性的负面影响,零星降雨的增加加剧了马铃薯的枯萎病和腐烂病。大多数农民(81%)已经采用了一些适应这些气候因素的策略,他们使用化肥、农药、改进种子和灌溉方法来补救这种情况,尽管需要采用诸如使用抗性品种等进一步的方法来改善日益减少的马铃薯产量。关键词:气候,变化,变异,Tubah分部,爱尔兰马铃薯,适应策略,喀麦隆
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