OPTIMIZED MANAGEMENT STRATEGY FOR CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS CONSIDERING THE TRADE-OFF OF ESTIMATE SCHEDULE AND COST AT COMPLETION

Liem Stefani Meilia Gunawan
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Abstract

Nowadays, the minimization of project time and cost is an important issue. However, time and cost problems are difficult to solve. They are affected by the uncertain factor. Then, the construction project always fails to achieve the effectiveness of time and cost performance. It causes delays and cost overrun. In this research, SOS-NN-LSTM is required to establish the estimate schedule to completion (ESTC) and estimate cost to completion (ECTC) prediction model based on time now performance. Then, the prediction model will be integrated with MOSOS to obtain the optimal prediction value. The integration is needed because there is no direct equation to calculate the ESTC and ECTC. The Pareto curve identified based on the prediction values of MOSOS. The Pareto curve is used to determine the optimal trade-off between project duration and project cost. Then, the indifference curve is used to solve the trade-off problem between estimate schedule at completion (ESAC) dan estimate cost at completion (ECAC) which give the decision-maker preference.
考虑预估进度与完工成本权衡的建设项目优化管理策略
目前,项目时间和成本的最小化是一个重要的问题。然而,时间和成本问题难以解决。他们受到不确定因素的影响。然后,建设项目总是不能达到时间效益和性价比。这会导致延误和成本超支。在本研究中,要求SOS-NN-LSTM建立基于时间现在性能的完工进度估计(ESTC)和完工成本估计(ECTC)预测模型。然后,将预测模型与MOSOS相结合,得到最优预测值。由于没有直接的方程来计算ESTC和ECTC,因此需要进行积分。根据MOSOS的预测值识别出Pareto曲线。利用帕累托曲线确定项目工期与项目成本之间的最优权衡。然后,利用无差异曲线解决了完工时估计进度(ESAC)和完工时估计成本(ECAC)之间的权衡问题,从而给出了决策者的偏好。
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