Comparative analysis of economic growth determinants in Romania and Central and Eastern European countries

Cristina Căutișanu, M. Hatmanu
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Abstract

Abstract Economic growth is one of the most studied topics in the literature in the field due to its significant role in the development of each country. Studies divide economic determinants into two categories based on their influence on economic growth: endogenous and exogenous. The study aims to estimate economic growth against two types of determinants for Romania and Central and Eastern European countries using data for 1995-2017 in order to compare the two cases. For Romania, we used time series specific methods (e.g. stationarity checking using Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, OLS model). In case of Central and Eastern European countries, we employed methods specific for panel data (e.g. estimation of the OLS general model, fixed effects model, random effects model, and feasible generalized least squares model). The results showed that in Romania, in the studied period, only the exogenous determinants (e.g. high technology exports) have a significant influence on economic growth, while Central and Eastern European countries were influenced by both types of determinants (e.g. life expectancy, foreign direct investments). In case of Romania, foreign direct investment did not represent a significant determinant for economic growth during 1995-2017 due to slower transition from communist regime to market economy.
罗马尼亚与中东欧国家经济增长决定因素的比较分析
经济增长在每个国家的发展中起着重要的作用,是该领域文献中研究最多的话题之一。研究根据经济决定因素对经济增长的影响将其分为内生和外生两类。该研究旨在使用1995-2017年的数据,根据罗马尼亚和中欧和东欧国家的两种决定因素估计经济增长,以便对两种情况进行比较。对于罗马尼亚,我们使用了时间序列特定方法(例如,使用增强Dickey-Fuller检验,OLS模型进行平稳性检查)。对于中欧和东欧国家,我们采用了专门针对面板数据的方法(如估计OLS一般模型、固定效应模型、随机效应模型和可行广义最小二乘模型)。结果表明,在罗马尼亚,在研究期间,只有外生决定因素(如高技术出口)对经济增长产生重大影响,而中欧和东欧国家则受到两种决定因素(如预期寿命、外国直接投资)的影响。就罗马尼亚而言,由于从共产主义政权向市场经济的过渡较慢,1995-2017年期间,外国直接投资并没有成为经济增长的重要决定因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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