Techno-Economic Analysis of a Commercial Factory’s Renewable Energy System Replacement Alternatives

Jace R. Stott, G. Pillai, Neville Winter
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Abstract

Renewables typically have a finite life expectancy of around 20 to 30 years. An existing wind energy system for a large commercial factory in the rural area of Barnard Castle, United Kingdom (UK) is nearing the end of its usable life. The existing system is operating at 8 % load factor, providing only 5 % of the site annual load. A techno-economic assessment of three renewable energy proposals will ensure the site’s energy strategy is successful. Three proposals were examined, to continue with the current system until failure, to overhaul the current system and prolong its usable life, or to replace the wind turbines with a rooftop photovoltaic (PV) system. The Net Present Value, Payback Period, Levelised Cost of Electricity and the equivalent Carbon Dioxide emissions were compared for each alternative. The photovoltaic system was the unanimous choice. The Analytical Hierarchy Process was used to systematically select the most appropriate PV module technology for the proposed system, based on the most important factors. Seven different PV module variants were selected and given weighted ratings to determine the most suitable model, the outcome of this was the SunPower SPR-MAX2 360 model. This decision was verified by the Consistency Ratio which indicated an informed decision had been made.
某商业工厂可再生能源系统替代方案的技术经济分析
可再生能源的寿命通常是有限的,大约20到30年。英国巴纳德城堡(Barnard Castle)农村地区一家大型商业工厂的现有风能系统已接近其使用寿命。现有系统以8%的负荷系数运行,仅提供现场年负荷的5%。对三项可再生能源提案的技术经济评估将确保该基地的能源战略是成功的。研究人员审查了三种方案,一种是继续使用现有系统,直到故障;另一种是对现有系统进行大修,延长其使用寿命;另一种是用屋顶光伏(PV)系统取代风力涡轮机。对每种替代方案的净现值、投资回收期、平准化电力成本和当量二氧化碳排放量进行了比较。光伏系统是一致的选择。基于最重要的因素,采用层次分析法系统地选择最合适的光伏组件技术。我们选择了7种不同的光伏组件变体,并给予加权评级,以确定最合适的模型,结果是SunPower SPR-MAX2 360模型。一致性比率证实了这一决定,表明作出了明智的决定。
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