Southern Laggards or Misfits? A comparative assessment of energy policy Europeanization

G. Anagnostopoulos
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Abstract

The concept of “Southern lag” describes the lack of compliance of Southern European countries with EU law which has had increased salience after the 2008 eurozone crisis. This article identifies the most binding constraints on energy policy, a previously overlooked area in the Southern lag debate. Two factors make the evaluation of the Europeanization of energy policy critical: first, the energy union is a key objective of the EU and understanding the constraints to compliance is essential for its success. Second, EU energy policy objectives provide concrete goals that make measuring Europeanization easier in terms of actual policy outcomes . This article first identifies the key explanations of this Southern lag that scholars have proposed. Then, it evaluates and compares the levels of compliance of Greece and Austria with EU energy policy objectives. By contrasting the empirical policy outcomes with the predictions of the various theories of Europeanization, this article establishes that the level of compliance is mostly determined by the level of misfit. A policy has a high misfit when it has high political and economic costs associated with its implementation. Furthermore, this comparative analysis introduces the importance of geography in affecting the level of misfit in energy policy. This result implies that the most successful strategies for Europeanization will be focused on bringing down the level of misfit by tailoring goals and policies to each country’s previous conditions. The eurozone crisis of 2008 brought to the forefront questions about Europeanization. As it became apparent that the hoped-for convergence among member-states in terms of both policy and economic performance had not materialized, many turned to exploring the reasons. Scholars had already sought to answer the question of why southern European countries seem to comply less and Europeanize slower than Northern ones. The 2008 crisis, however, and its overwhelming consequences for southern member-states gave the question new salience. Studying the divergence between north and south and understanding its causes is crucial to designing effective policies and avoiding the apparently consequential lackluster compliance in the future. This analysis seeks to do so by studying the Europeanization of Greece and Austria. It argues that even though Greece has made less progress on the Europeanization of its energy policy than Austria, this is due to the EU policies’ misfit with pre-existing institutions and energy policies. Greece, in other words, is not lacking the capacity nor the willingness to comply but the costs of its compliance are much higher than for Austria. This misfit is due to economic, political, and geographic factors that make compliance costlier for Greece. This analysis it makes 3 contributions: Firstly, it yields an in-depth analysis of the Europeanization of energy policy, an increasingly salient policy area both in Europe where the energy union occupies a high place on the political agenda and globally due to the advents of climate change and geopolitical developments. Second, it adds to the empirical evidence on the misfit-based explanations of Europeanization or lack thereof, showing that policy misfit is the driving factor of non-compliance in energy policy. Third, it provides another explanatory variable for policy misfit that has previously been overlooked: Geography. Geography influences the level of misfit through two channels: determining financial costs of infrastructure and the spillover effects of neighbors with higher level of Europeanization. The impact of the level of Europeanization of a country’s neighbor on its INTRODUCTION International Affairs and Economics, ESIA ‘19, ganagnstopoulos@gwu.edu
南方落后者还是不合群者?能源政策欧洲化的比较评估
“南方滞后”的概念描述了南欧国家不遵守欧盟法律的情况,这一问题在2008年欧元区危机后变得更加突出。本文指出了能源政策中最具约束力的制约因素,这是以前在南方滞后辩论中被忽视的一个领域。有两个因素使得对能源政策欧洲化的评估至关重要:首先,能源联盟是欧盟的一个关键目标,了解遵守该目标的制约因素对其成功至关重要。其次,欧盟能源政策目标提供了具体的目标,使衡量欧洲化在实际政策结果方面更加容易。本文首先梳理了学者们对这种南方滞后现象的主要解释。然后,它评估并比较了希腊和奥地利对欧盟能源政策目标的遵守程度。通过将实证政策结果与各种欧洲化理论的预测进行对比,本文确定了服从程度主要取决于不适应程度。当一项政策的实施具有很高的政治和经济成本时,它就具有很高的不适应性。此外,这一比较分析还介绍了地理因素在影响能源政策不匹配程度方面的重要性。这一结果表明,最成功的欧洲化战略将集中于通过根据每个国家以前的条件调整目标和政策来降低不适应的程度。2008年的欧元区危机将有关欧洲化的问题推到了风口浪尖。随着人们所希望的成员国在政策和经济表现方面的趋同显然没有实现,许多人转向探索原因。学者们已经试图回答这样一个问题:为什么南欧国家似乎比北欧国家更少遵守欧洲规则,欧洲化速度也更慢。然而,2008年的危机及其对南欧成员国造成的巨大影响,使这个问题变得更加突出。研究南北之间的分歧并了解其原因,对于设计有效的政策和避免未来明显导致的不合规至关重要。本分析试图通过研究希腊和奥地利的欧洲化来做到这一点。它认为,尽管希腊在能源政策欧洲化方面取得的进展不如奥地利,但这是由于欧盟政策与现有机构和能源政策不适应。换句话说,希腊既不缺乏履行义务的能力,也不缺乏履行义务的意愿,但其履行义务的成本远高于奥地利。这种不适应是由于经济、政治和地理因素,这些因素使希腊的合规成本更高。该分析有三个贡献:首先,它对能源政策的欧洲化进行了深入分析,这是一个日益突出的政策领域,无论是在欧洲,能源联盟在政治议程上都占据了很高的位置,还是在全球范围内,由于气候变化和地缘政治发展的到来。其次,它为基于错配的欧洲化或缺乏欧洲化的解释提供了经验证据,表明政策错配是能源政策不合规的驱动因素。第三,它为以前被忽视的政策不匹配提供了另一个解释变量:地理。地理位置通过两个渠道影响不适应程度:决定基础设施的财务成本和欧洲化程度较高的邻国的溢出效应。《邻国欧洲化程度对其影响》,《国际事务与经济》,ESIA ' 19, ganagnstopoulos@gwu.edu
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