The Reinsurance Network Among U.S. Property-Casualty Insurers: Microstructure, Insolvency Risk, and Contagion

Hua Chen, J. Cummins, T. Sun, Mary A. Weiss
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Reinsurance is the primary source of interconnectedness in the insurance industry. As such, reinsurance connectivity provides a transmission mechanism for financial shocks and potentially exposes insurers to contagion and systemic risk. In this paper, connectivity within the U.S. property-casualty (P/C) reinsurance market is modeled as a network. We model the network of all primary insurers and reinsurers in the market. We analyze all bilateral reinsurance counterparty relationships (domestic and foreign) of U.S. P/C insurers, and we model both intra- and inter-group transactions. We extend the prior literature by providing a detailed examination of the reinsurance network structure, including network density, network components, centrality of individual insurers, and sub-network analysis for top insurers and for insurance groups. Our analysis of contagion and insolvency risk reveals that even the failure of the top 10 in-degree or in-strength insurers with 100 percent loss given default would not lead to widespread insolvencies in the U.S. P/C insurance industry.
美国财产意外保险公司的再保险网络:微观结构、破产风险和传染
再保险是保险业相互联系的主要来源。因此,再保险互联互通为金融冲击提供了一种传导机制,并可能使保险公司面临传染和系统性风险。本文将美国财险再保险市场的连通性建模为一个网络。我们对市场上所有主要保险公司和再保险公司的网络进行建模。我们分析了美国P/C保险公司的所有双边再保险交易对手关系(国内和国外),并对集团内部和集团之间的交易进行了建模。我们通过提供再保险网络结构的详细检查来扩展先前的文献,包括网络密度,网络组成,单个保险公司的中心性,以及顶级保险公司和保险集团的子网络分析。我们对传染和破产风险的分析显示,即使10大程度或实力雄厚的保险公司因违约而损失100%而倒闭,也不会导致美国P/C保险业普遍破产。
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