Learning From Fails in Crisis Management: Case of Stress Impact

Teffali Sammy Abdelghani, M. Nada, C. Eric
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

A crisis is a complex situation, which actors have some difficulties to manage it. They are under stress to deal with problems that they cannot predict consequences. The human conditions (familial and life) and, the influence of the environment (politic, economic, media) pushes the actors to lose control of the crisis situation. The question we face in this paper is: “is it possible to predict fails action under the impact of the stress in this type of situation and to correct it?” Our main hypothesis to answer is representing fails actions using the experience feedback and the knowledge management. To model the crisis management as systemic system emphasizing regulation loops, and the collaboration activity by showing the dimension of the communication, coordination, and cooperation. This modeling is illustrated on a terrorist attack situation in Algeria. To predict actions consequence of the stress and their corrective, Fuzzy set principle is adopted, based on experience feedback and situations modeling.
从危机管理的失败中学习:压力影响的案例
危机是一种复杂的情况,参与者在管理危机方面存在一些困难。他们承受着处理无法预测后果的问题的压力。人的条件(家庭和生活)和环境的影响(政治、经济、媒体)促使演员失去对危机局势的控制。我们在本文中面临的问题是:“在这种情况下,在压力的影响下,是否有可能预测失败的行为并加以纠正?”我们的主要假设是利用经验反馈和知识管理来表示失败行为。通过展示沟通、协调和合作的维度,将危机管理建模为强调监管循环和协作活动的系统系统。该模型以阿尔及利亚的恐怖袭击情况为例。在经验反馈和情景建模的基础上,采用模糊集原理对应力的动作后果进行预测和修正。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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