THE ASYMMETRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MACROECONOMIC DETERMINANTS AND NON-PERFORMING LOANS: EVIDENCE FROM THE BANKING INDUSTRY OF INDONESIA

Abstract

Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) represent a risk that can significantly affect the financial performance of banks. This study aims to examine the macroeconomic determinants of NPLs in the Indonesian banking industry from 2005Q1 to 2019Q4. It adopts a novel approach, namely the nonlinear autoregressive distributed model and provides evidence that changes in macroeconomic conditions have an asymmetrical effect on NPLs in conventional banks, conventional rural banks, Islamic banks