Data-Driven Risk-Based Assessment of Wind-Excited Tall Buildings

Laura Micheli, A. Alipour, S. Laflamme
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

The damage reported from structural and non-structural elements during severe windstorms promoted the extension of the performance-based design (PBD) philosophy to wind-excited tall buildings. A critical part of PBD is the risk assessment of the facility. Risk assessment allows the estimation of the probability of failure of the structure considering the uncertainties arising from the external hazard and the material properties. This probability is typically estimated using a nonlinear model, which permits for the evaluation of the building performance beyond the elastic regime. In wind-excited tall buildings, the use of sophisticated computational models and the long duration of typical wind events make risk-based assessment impractical and timedemanding. As a solution, this paper presents a framework for the risk-based assessment of wind-excited tall buildings using surrogate models. In the proposed framework, the surrogate models are leveraged to reduce the computational burden of time-consuming wind time history analyses. The risk of the building is quantified using the concept of fragility and hazard functions. The surrogate model is constructed using a data-driven approach, where the training data set is derived from a high-fidelity computational model. Then, the surrogate function is used as a representation of the original computational model for risk assessment and future predictions. The proposed procedure is applied to a 39-story building. The building is equipped with motion control devices for wind-induced vibrations mitigation. The wind load is simulated in the time domain as a multivariate stochastic process and numerically applied to the structure. To create the training dataset, the structural response of the building in terms of peak acceleration and inter-story drift is estimated under different wind time histories. Two cases are considered. In the first case, the mean hourly wind speed and the terrain roughness are considered as random variables, while in the second instance the capacity of the damping devices is considered as uncertain. In both cases, the surrogate model parameters are optimized using the maximum likelihood estimation method. Results show that the proposed approach can be used for improving structural resilience under extreme wind events, where the use of surrogate model represents a viable data-driven solution for uncertainty-based risk evaluation. Disciplines Civil Engineering | Risk Analysis | Structural Engineering Comments This is a manuscript of the article Micheli, Laura, Alice Alipour, and Simon Laflamme. "Data-Driven RiskBased Assessment of Wind-excited Tall Buildings using Surrogate Models." (2019). This article is available at Iowa State University Digital Repository: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/ccee_pubs/232 1 Data-Driven Risk-Based Assessment of Wind-excited Tall Buildings using Surrogate Models 1 Laura Micheli, Ph.D. Candidate, S.M. ASCE, lauramch@iastate.edu 2 Alice Alipour, Assistant Professor, M. ASCE, P.E., alipour@iastate.edu 3 Simon Laflamme, Associate Professor, A.M. ASCE, laflamme@iastate.edu
基于数据驱动的风激高层建筑风险评估
在严重的风暴中,结构和非结构构件的损坏报告促进了基于性能的设计(PBD)理念在风激高层建筑中的扩展。PBD的一个关键部分是设施的风险评估。考虑到外部危害和材料特性的不确定性,风险评估允许对结构失效的概率进行估计。该概率通常使用非线性模型进行估计,该模型允许对超出弹性状态的建筑物性能进行评估。在风激高层建筑中,使用复杂的计算模型和典型风事件的长持续时间使得基于风险的评估不切实际且耗时。为解决这一问题,本文提出了一种基于替代模型的风激高层建筑风险评估框架。在提出的框架中,利用代理模型来减少耗时的风时程分析的计算负担。使用脆弱性和危险函数的概念对建筑物的风险进行量化。代理模型使用数据驱动的方法构建,其中训练数据集派生自高保真计算模型。然后,将代理函数用作原始计算模型的表示,用于风险评估和未来预测。所建议的程序适用于一座39层的建筑。该建筑配备了运动控制装置,以减轻风引起的振动。在时域上将风荷载模拟为多元随机过程,并将其数值应用于结构。为了创建训练数据集,在不同的风时史下估计建筑物在峰值加速度和层间漂移方面的结构响应。考虑两种情况。在第一种情况下,平均时风速和地形粗糙度被认为是随机变量,而在第二种情况下,阻尼装置的能力被认为是不确定的。在这两种情况下,使用最大似然估计方法对代理模型参数进行优化。结果表明,该方法可用于提高极端风事件下的结构弹性,其中代理模型的使用代表了基于不确定性的风险评估的可行数据驱动解决方案。这是Micheli, Laura, Alice Alipour和Simon Laflamme文章的原稿。用替代模型对风激高层建筑进行基于数据驱动的风险评估(2019)。本文可在爱荷华州立大学数字存储库中获得:https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/ccee_pubs/232 1利用代理模型对风激发高层建筑进行基于数据驱动的风险评估1 Laura Micheli,博士候选人,s.m.a ASCE, lauramch@iastate.edu 2 Alice Alipour,助理教授,m.a ASCE, p.e., alipour@iastate.edu 3 Simon Laflamme,副教授,A.M.陈纯laflamme@iastate.edu
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