Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database

Z. Alam, Adrian Alter, Jesse Elseman, Gastón Gelos, Heedon Kang, Machiko Narita, Erlend W. Nier, Naixi Wang
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引用次数: 228

Abstract

This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016. Using these data, we first confirm that loan-targeted instruments have a significant impact on household credit, and a milder, dampening effect on consumption. Next, we exploit novel numerical information on loan-to-value (LTV) limits using a propensity-score-based method to address endogeneity concerns. The results point to economically significant and nonlinear effects, with a declining impact for larger tightening measures. Moreover, the initial LTV level appears to matter; when LTV limits are already tight, the effects of additional tightening on credit is dampened while those on consumption are strengthened.
更深层次的挖掘——来自一个新数据库的关于宏观审慎政策影响的证据
本文介绍了一个新的宏观审慎政策综合数据库,该数据库结合了来自各种来源的信息,涵盖了134个国家从1990年1月到2016年12月的数据。利用这些数据,我们首先证实了贷款定向工具对家庭信贷有显著影响,对消费有较温和的抑制作用。接下来,我们利用基于倾向分数的方法来解决内生性问题,利用关于贷款对价值(LTV)限制的新数字信息。结果表明,经济上具有显著的非线性效应,较大的紧缩措施的影响较小。此外,初始LTV水平似乎很重要;当LTV限制已经收紧时,进一步收紧对信贷的影响被抑制,而对消费的影响则被加强。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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