Fundamentalism and Democracy: A Dynamic Perspective

L. Correani
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Abstract

We analyse the dynamics of the distribution of democratic values in a population where agents have heterogeneous preferences about democracy, distinguishing between fundamentalist-antidemocratic agents and pro-democracy agents. Cultural traits and norms are acquired through a process of intergenerational cultural transmission and socialization. The driving force in the equilibrium selection process is the education effort exerted by parents; this depends on the distribution of democratic values in the population and on expectations about future policies affecting formal and informal institutions. The main result is that when fundamentalism is sufficiently diffused in all institutional dimensions of social life, the imposition of formal democratic rules do not significantly affect social preferences. On the other hand the model shows how a cruel fundamentalist dictatorship cannot wholly destroy democratic preferences in the population; the sole result is a fictitious homologation of manifested attitudes, with no preferences dynamics and the previous real attitudes immediately emerging as soon as dictatorship falls.
原教旨主义与民主:一个动态的视角
我们分析了人口中民主价值观分布的动态,其中代理人对民主有异质偏好,区分了原教旨主义反民主代理人和民主代理人。文化特征和规范是通过代际文化传播和社会化过程获得的。均衡选择过程的驱动力是家长的教育努力;这取决于民主价值观在人口中的分布,取决于对影响正式和非正式机构的未来政策的预期。其主要结果是,当原教旨主义在社会生活的所有制度层面充分扩散时,正式民主规则的强加不会显著影响社会偏好。另一方面,该模型表明,残酷的原教旨主义独裁政权无法完全摧毁民众的民主偏好;唯一的结果是对表现出来的态度的一种虚构的认同,没有偏好动态,而且一旦独裁政权倒台,以前的真实态度就会立即出现。
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