{"title":"Introductory Remarks","authors":"T. Southwood","doi":"10.1515/9781618110992-062","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"These proceedings, like the meeting from which they sprang, bring together two topics of long-standing interest to ecologists: the regulation of individual species and the relative abundance of different species in a community. Indeed, the explicit quest for understanding population regulation can be traced to Gilbert White who, in 1778, queried why year after year there were always eight pairs of swifts in Selbourne. In view of the amount of study which has already been expended on these topics, one may ask ‘what is new?’ As is clear from this symposium, we are now more in a position to achieve a synthesis of these two topics. Another difference from the situation of some 40 years ago is the fact that plants are now being considered alongside animals and we are gaining new insights from their study. Coming to more recent history, from about 1920 until 1970 the emphasis was on the dynamics of singleand two-species population interactions. Several models were produced, of which the Lotka—Volterra and Nicholson—Bailey models have been the most enduring. Quite properly, ecologists searched for meaningful field tests of the theories which underlay these models. Such tests involved the measurement of populations in the field, to constructing precise life tables. This work was most straightforward in certain insects, where discrete generations imposed by the seasonal cycle enabled the complexities of overlapping generations and the problems of the determination of the precise age of an individual to be circumvented. Some of the leading work of that time was undertaken in Australia by Davidson & Andrewartha, in Canada by R. F. Morris and his colleagues, and in the United Kingdom by O. W. Richards, N. Waloff at Silwood Park and by G. C. Varley in Oxford. Many techniques were developed for enumerating populations and for analysing them, among the best known being key factor analysis. This technique was devised to detect the stage at which variations in survival contributed most to generation-to-generation fluctuations in popu lation size. As modified by Varley and Gradwell, the technique could also be used in the search for regulating factors, but there were many complications. Some of these factors were statistical arising from a lack of independence of data, but others were because of the sheer mechanical labour of analysing complicated sets of data when all one had at one’s disposal were handturned calculators, a situation that it is hard to envisage today. As this work progressed, two further insights added to the complications, though at the same time refocusing our questions in a more constructive way.","PeriodicalId":351241,"journal":{"name":"The Horizontal Society","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Horizontal Society","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9781618110992-062","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
These proceedings, like the meeting from which they sprang, bring together two topics of long-standing interest to ecologists: the regulation of individual species and the relative abundance of different species in a community. Indeed, the explicit quest for understanding population regulation can be traced to Gilbert White who, in 1778, queried why year after year there were always eight pairs of swifts in Selbourne. In view of the amount of study which has already been expended on these topics, one may ask ‘what is new?’ As is clear from this symposium, we are now more in a position to achieve a synthesis of these two topics. Another difference from the situation of some 40 years ago is the fact that plants are now being considered alongside animals and we are gaining new insights from their study. Coming to more recent history, from about 1920 until 1970 the emphasis was on the dynamics of singleand two-species population interactions. Several models were produced, of which the Lotka—Volterra and Nicholson—Bailey models have been the most enduring. Quite properly, ecologists searched for meaningful field tests of the theories which underlay these models. Such tests involved the measurement of populations in the field, to constructing precise life tables. This work was most straightforward in certain insects, where discrete generations imposed by the seasonal cycle enabled the complexities of overlapping generations and the problems of the determination of the precise age of an individual to be circumvented. Some of the leading work of that time was undertaken in Australia by Davidson & Andrewartha, in Canada by R. F. Morris and his colleagues, and in the United Kingdom by O. W. Richards, N. Waloff at Silwood Park and by G. C. Varley in Oxford. Many techniques were developed for enumerating populations and for analysing them, among the best known being key factor analysis. This technique was devised to detect the stage at which variations in survival contributed most to generation-to-generation fluctuations in popu lation size. As modified by Varley and Gradwell, the technique could also be used in the search for regulating factors, but there were many complications. Some of these factors were statistical arising from a lack of independence of data, but others were because of the sheer mechanical labour of analysing complicated sets of data when all one had at one’s disposal were handturned calculators, a situation that it is hard to envisage today. As this work progressed, two further insights added to the complications, though at the same time refocusing our questions in a more constructive way.
这些程序,就像它们产生的会议一样,汇集了生态学家长期感兴趣的两个主题:单个物种的调节和一个群落中不同物种的相对丰度。事实上,对理解人口调控的明确追求可以追溯到吉尔伯特·怀特(Gilbert White),他在1778年质疑为什么塞尔伯恩年复一年总是有八对雨燕。鉴于在这些主题上已经花费了大量的研究,人们可能会问“有什么新的?”从这次研讨会上可以清楚地看出,我们现在更有可能实现这两个主题的综合。与大约40年前的情况相比,另一个不同之处在于,现在人们把植物和动物放在一起考虑,我们从它们的研究中获得了新的见解。再来看最近的历史,从1920年到1970年,重点是单物种和双物种种群相互作用的动态。生产了几种型号,其中Lotka-Volterra和Nicholson-Bailey型号是最持久的。生态学家很恰当地寻找有意义的实地试验来验证这些模型背后的理论。这些测试包括实地测量种群数量,以构建精确的生命表。这项工作在某些昆虫中最为直接,在这些昆虫中,季节周期造成的离散世代使得重叠世代的复杂性和确定个体精确年龄的问题得以规避。当时澳大利亚的Davidson & Andrewartha、加拿大的R. F. Morris和他的同事、英国的O. W. Richards、N. Waloff和牛津的G. C. Varley进行了一些主要的研究工作。开发了许多技术来枚举人口和分析人口,其中最著名的是关键因素分析。这项技术被设计用来检测在哪个阶段,生存的变化对种群规模的代际波动贡献最大。经过Varley和Gradwell的改进,该技术也可以用于寻找调节因子,但存在许多复杂性。其中一些因素是由于缺乏数据独立性而产生的统计因素,但另一些因素则是由于分析复杂数据集的纯粹机械劳动,当时人们所拥有的一切都是手动计算器,这种情况在今天很难想象。随着这项工作的进展,两个进一步的见解增加了复杂性,尽管同时以更有建设性的方式重新聚焦我们的问题。