ASSESSMENT OF ECONOMIC RISKS TO SECURE DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINE

E. Fedorov
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Abstract

The article studies the issue of secure development of Ukraine, with a focus on risks and their assessment within the country’s economic security framework. The author argues that a comprehensive assessment of the country’s state of security cannot be performed without taking into consideration, measuring and continuously monitoring risks as an integral component of socio-economic development of countries in the modern conditions. The author develops a toolkit for quantitative measurement of risks, which determine the country’s vulnerability and decrease its resilience in a volatile security environment. The proposed risk assessment algorithm is applied in practice to examine the economic dimensions of risk and to provide a composite estimate of the level of economic risk. Research findings prove that the concept of secure development of countries should be based on the examination, systematization, assessment, and continuous monitoring of risks in order to ensure the country’s utmost adaptability to conditions caused by the emerging threats and risks.
评估乌克兰安全发展的经济风险
本文研究了乌克兰的安全发展问题,重点研究了乌克兰经济安全框架下的风险及其评估。发件人认为,如果不考虑、衡量和持续监测风险,作为现代条件下各国社会经济发展的一个组成部分,就不可能对国家的安全状况进行全面评估。作者开发了一套定量衡量风险的工具包,以确定该国的脆弱性,并降低其在动荡的安全环境中的复原力。所提出的风险评估算法在实际应用中检验了风险的经济维度,并提供了经济风险水平的综合估计。研究结果证明,国家安全发展的概念应该建立在对风险的审查、系统化、评估和持续监测的基础上,以确保国家对新出现的威胁和风险所造成的条件具有最大的适应能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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