Teaching Basic Probability in Undergraduate Statistics or Management Science Courses.

Jaideep T. Naidu, J. F. Sanford
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Abstract

Standard textbooks in core Statistics and Management Science classes present various examples to introduce basic probability concepts to undergraduate business students. These include tossing of a coin, throwing a die, and examples of that nature. While these are good examples to introduce basic probability, we use improvised versions of Russian Roulette and found these to be very effective in communicating important concepts in probability to our business school students. We use these modified versions of Russian Roulette to communicate concepts such as dependent event, joint probabilities and the value of information using Bayes’ law. The students understand and enjoy these examples and the class participation has been higher than usual.
统计学或管理学本科课程基础概率论教学。
统计和管理科学核心课程的标准教科书中提供了各种例子,向本科商业学生介绍基本的概率概念。这些包括抛硬币,掷骰子,以及这种性质的例子。虽然这些都是介绍基本概率的好例子,但我们使用临时版本的俄罗斯轮盘赌,发现这些在向商学院学生传达概率的重要概念方面非常有效。我们使用这些修改版本的俄罗斯轮盘来传达相关事件,联合概率和使用贝叶斯定律的信息价值等概念。学生们理解并喜欢这些例子,课堂参与度也比平时高。
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