The European Debt Crisis. An Analysis and Evidence From the Macroeconomic Variables of the EU Members

Michel Guirguis
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Abstract

This article describes the current sovereign debt crisis of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, (GIPS). Using data from the International Monetary Fund, IMF, we illustrate the degree of the problem since the start of 2009. Macroeconomic indicators such as gross domestic product constant prices as percent change, general government net lending/borrowing as percent of GDP, general government net debt as a percent of GDP, unemployment rate, general government revenue as percent of GDP, general government total expenditure as percent of GDP, current account balance as percent of GDP, inflation end of period consumer prices as percent change, total investment as percent of GDP, gross national savings as percent of GDP, volume of imports of goods and services as percent change, volume of exports of goods and services as percent change would be used to show the violations from the Maastricht Treaty which was signed in 1992. The biggest problem was that the Treaty signed without taking into consideration the Greek Orthodox approach. This was the biggest mistake that resulted to magnify the debt and deficit among the EU countries. If there is no blessing from the Orthodox Church, then the decisions and the project will not be sustainable and successful for a long – period of time.
欧洲债务危机。欧盟成员国宏观经济变量的分析与证据
本文描述了当前希腊、爱尔兰、葡萄牙和西班牙(GIPS)的主权债务危机。我们利用国际货币基金组织(IMF)的数据,说明了自2009年初以来问题的严重程度。宏观经济指标,如国内生产总值不变价格变动百分比、一般政府净借贷占国内生产总值的百分比、一般政府净债务占国内生产总值的百分比、失业率、一般政府收入占国内生产总值的百分比、一般政府总支出占国内生产总值的百分比、经常账户余额占国内生产总值的百分比、通货膨胀率期末消费价格变动百分比、总投资占国内生产总值的百分比、国民储蓄总额占国内生产总值的百分比,货物和服务进口量的百分比变化,货物和服务出口量的百分比变化将被用来显示违反1992年签署的马斯特里赫特条约的情况。最大的问题是《条约》的签署没有考虑到希腊东正教的做法。这是导致欧盟国家债务和赤字扩大的最大错误。如果没有东正教会的祝福,那么决策和项目将无法长期持续和成功。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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