Who Votes? Implications for New Democracies

Michael Bratton, Yun-han Chu, Marta Lagos
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引用次数: 28

Abstract

To appreciate the quality of new democracies around the world, it is desirable to understand the social dimensions of mass participation. While studies have been done on this subject for established democracies of the North, it is necessary to check results against observations from the developing world. Using unique data from Globalbarometer surveys, we find support for some aspects of conventional wisdom, but evidence that challenges other aspects. For example, we confirm the universality of abstention of youth from participation in elections. But we cannot replicate the truism that persons of higher socioeconomic status tend to vote more frequently. And we add the intriguing new finding that rural folk participate consistently more regularly than their urban counterparts. These social effects are tested against a rival institutional approach and found to be robust. The essay concludes by exploring the implications of the low quality of a mobilized rather than autonomous rural vote for the consolidation of democracy.
谁投票?对新民主国家的影响
要了解世界各地新民主国家的质量,就需要了解群众参与的社会层面。虽然对北方已建立的民主国家就这一问题进行了研究,但有必要对照发展中国家的观察来检查结果。利用全球晴雨表调查的独特数据,我们发现了对传统智慧某些方面的支持,但也有证据对其他方面提出了挑战。例如,我们确认青年人普遍不参加选举。但我们不能重复社会经济地位较高的人往往更频繁地投票这一真理。我们还增加了一个有趣的新发现,即农村居民比城市居民更经常地参加体育锻炼。这些社会效应与一种与之竞争的制度方法进行了测试,结果发现是强有力的。文章最后探讨了低质量的动员而非自主的农村投票对巩固民主的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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