Trade Off and Pecking Order Capital Structure Theories in Tourism Sector in the Portuguese Central Region

Sílvia M. Dinis Mendes, Paula Machado, Carla David Reis, Vera L. Mendes Cunha
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Abstract

The present study aims to identify the predominant theory in financing decisions, and which are the determinants of the capital structure of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) of the tourism sector in the Central Region of Portugal. The statistical method applied was the econometric model of linear regression, using a sample of 606 SMEs in the tourism sector in the Central Region, for a period of analysis between 2011 and 2018. The focus on the tourism sector is due to its importance in the Portuguese economy and to the existence of few studies, particularly in the Central Region. In the analysis of the determinants of capital structure decisions we used as explanatory variables profitability, asset tangibility, size, total liquidity, other non-debt tax shields, risk and age of SMEs. The results obtained suggest that the capital structure decisions follow more closely the assumptions of the Pecking Order theory but may also follow the assumptions of the Trade-Off theory. Therefore, this paper enhances that Trade-Off and Pecking Order Theories are not mutually exclusive in explaining the capital structure decisions of SMEs. We may conclude that SMEs firstly finance themselves with retained earnings, then use external financing and finally resort to capital increases. Keywords: determinants of capital structure, SMEs, tourism sector, pecking order theory, trade-off theory
葡萄牙中部地区旅游部门的权衡与啄序资本结构理论
本研究旨在确定融资决策的主导理论,这是葡萄牙中部地区旅游部门中小企业(SMEs)资本结构的决定因素。统计方法采用线性回归计量经济模型,以中部地区606家旅游行业中小企业为样本,分析时间为2011年至2018年。重点放在旅游部门是由于其在葡萄牙经济中的重要性和存在的研究很少,特别是在中部地区。在分析资本结构决策的决定因素时,我们使用盈利能力、资产有形性、规模、总流动性、其他非债务税盾、风险和中小企业的年龄作为解释变量。所得结果表明,资本结构决策更密切地遵循啄食顺序理论的假设,但也可能遵循权衡理论的假设。因此,本文增强了取舍理论和啄食顺序理论在解释中小企业资本结构决策时并不相互排斥。我们可以得出结论,中小企业首先通过留存收益进行融资,然后通过外部融资,最后通过增资进行融资。关键词:资本结构决定因素,中小企业,旅游行业,优序理论,权衡理论
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