EFEK PELEMAHAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2017

didik rosadi ali
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of the weakening of the Rupiah exchange rate on Indonesia's export performance. The data used is quarterly period data from 2010 until 2017. The statistical method to analyze the data is Error Correction Model (ECM) method by firstly testing stationeritas to all variables used is the value of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), value exports and exchange rate of Rupiah to US Dollar and test the classical assumption of regression on each model formed. From the estimation result, it is found that in the period of 2010/Q1-2017/Q4 both in long-term and short-term model, the exchange rate effect on export of Indonesia performance is not significant
2010年至2017年,印尼盾的出口价值减价效应
本研究旨在分析印尼盾汇率贬值对印尼出口绩效的影响。使用的数据是2010年至2017年的季度数据。对数据进行分析的统计方法是误差修正模型(Error Correction Model, ECM)方法,首先对使用的所有变量为国内生产总值(GDP)值、出口额和印尼盾对美元汇率进行平稳性检验,并对所形成的每个模型进行经典回归假设检验。从估计结果来看,无论是长期模型还是短期模型,在2010/Q1-2017/Q4期间,汇率对印尼出口绩效的影响都不显著
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