Development dilemmas of water transport of Mazovia

Tadeusz Wójcicki
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Abstract

The Polish government conducts program works on the development of the E40 waterway along the Vistula and the Bug in accordance with the European Agreement on the main inland waterways of international importance (AGN). In light of the current investment practice, there is still a long way to go for the implementation of the E40 waterway in Mazovia, while the current findings of these programs and related study plans are at many points controversial. In this situation, this article aims to identify the weaknesses of these findings, indicate other ways to solve the already embarrassing decision-making situations (dilemmas), analyze and evaluate basic decision-making alternatives, and choose optimal solutions for Mazovia. The author has identified the following basic decision dilemmas: (0) Does a waterway network in Mazovia exist or not? (1) Whether to build this network or not? (2) Whether to reject the AGN Agreement or not? (3) Whether to build a network in full or limited spatial extent? (4) Whether to build following AGN or lower waterwaytechnical classes? (5) Whether to build against ecologists or in harmony with them? As a result of detailed analyzes and assessments, the author chose to solve these dilemmas, assuming (0) the lack of the waterway network in its current state, (1) undertaking the investment program for the construction of this network as satisfying the potential undisclosed demand in the field of water transport, (2) not rejecting the AGN Agreement as consistent with the long-term EU transport policy, (3) building the waterway network in the full spatial scope, (4) constructing a complete network in one step, i.e. at least Vb (2,80 m) class, as well as (5) creatingthis waterway network in agreement with ecologists. When adopting such design assumptions, a positive plan is outlined, which would involve, first of all, resigning from the existing plans to build the Vistula, Narew and Bug cascades as leading to the obtaining the waterways of undervalued classes IV and Va and to the right protests of ecologists, and secondly replacing the cascade with the construction of side shipping canalsof Vb (2,80 m) class or higher located within the broad valleys of the Vistula and the Narew but outside the most valuable natural areas of these valleys. In relation to the Bug waterway, the author prefers the course of the canal beyond the river valley through Wilga and Garwolin.
马佐维亚水运的发展困境
波兰政府根据《关于具有国际重要性的主要内河航道的欧洲协定》(AGN),开展了沿维斯瓦河和布格河E40航道的开发项目工作。根据目前的投资实践,Mazovia E40航道的实施还有很长的路要走,而目前这些项目的发现和相关的研究计划在很多方面都存在争议。在这种情况下,本文旨在找出这些发现的弱点,指出解决已经尴尬的决策情况(困境)的其他方法,分析和评估基本决策方案,并为Mazovia选择最优解决方案。作者确定了以下基本决策困境:(0)马佐维亚地区是否存在水运网络?(1)要不要建这个网络?(2)是否拒绝AGN协议?(3)网络建设是全面的还是有限的空间范围?(4)是否建造以下AGN或更低的水道技术等级?(5)是反对生态学家,还是与生态学家和谐相处?经过详细的分析和评估,笔者选择解决这些困境,假设(0)目前缺乏水运网络,(1)承担水运网络建设的投资计划,满足水运领域潜在的未披露需求,(2)不拒绝AGN协议,符合欧盟的长期运输政策,(3)在全空间范围内建设水运网络。(4)一步构建一个完整的网络,即至少Vb (2,80 m)级;(5)与生态学家一致创建这个水道网络。当采用这样的设计假设时,概述了一个积极的计划,这将包括,首先,放弃现有的计划,建造维斯瓦、纳雷乌和布格瀑布,以获得被低估的IV级和Va级水道,并引起生态学家的正确抗议。其次,用Vb(2,80米)级或更高的侧运运河取代梯级,这些运河位于维斯瓦河和纳雷夫河宽阔的山谷内,但位于这些山谷中最宝贵的自然区域之外。关于布格水道,作者更倾向于通过威尔加和加沃林的河谷以外的运河路线。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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