Estudio de la precisión de modelos de marea mediante la varianza de los residuos de alturas satelitales en la plataforma patagónica

María Florencia de Azkue, E. E. D'Onofrio, Alan Jacbos
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This work proposes to compare the astronomical tidal predictions obtained by using the totality of the constituents provided by seven global tide models and by the Center for Topographic studies of the Ocean and Hydrosphere (CTOH). To quantify this comparison, the variance of residuals of satellite sea level heights are computed from 1992 to 2019, for each model and CTOH. As a case study, we focus on the Patagonian shelf. It is found that the most accurate tidal predictions are obtained when using FES2014 model and CTOH harmonic constants. It is also observed that the decrease in variance values is due to the addition of certain minor constituents. As an example, in the case of CTOH, a location yields a reduction of more than 57% in the variance values when 9 minor constituents are added to the nine common ones. Likewise, in the case of FES2014, variance reduction over this same location is more than 56% by incorporating 14 minor constituents. Finally, a comparison of the amplitudes and phases values of the common constituents among models and the CTOH shows that these values are practically the same. However, when comparing predictions, very dissimilar results are obtained among models
利用巴塔哥尼亚大陆架卫星高度残差方差研究潮汐模型的准确性
这项工作提出比较利用七个全球潮汐模型和海洋和水圈地形研究中心(CTOH)提供的成分总数所获得的天文潮汐预测。为了量化这种比较,计算了1992年至2019年每个模式和CTOH的卫星海平面高度残差方差。作为一个案例研究,我们关注的是巴塔哥尼亚大陆架。结果表明,采用FES2014模型和CTOH谐波常数时,潮汐预报精度最高。还可以观察到,方差值的减小是由于添加了某些次要成分。例如,在CTOH的情况下,当9个次要成分加入到9个常见成分中时,一个位置的方差值减少了57%以上。同样,在FES2014的情况下,通过合并14个次要成分,在同一位置上的方差减少超过56%。最后,将各模式的共同分量的幅值和相位值与CTOH进行比较,结果表明这些值基本一致。然而,当比较预测时,模型之间得到的结果非常不同
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