Improving Housing Finance in an Inflationary Environment: Alternative Residential Mortgage Instruments

G. Kaufman, Eleanor H. Erdevig
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Alternative mortgage instruments are mortgage plans designed to accommodate better than traditional mortgages the current needs of residential mortgage borrowers, mortgage lenders, or both. The long-term fixed-rate, fixed-payment mortgage became the prevalent type in the United States in the 1930s and served both borrowers and lenders well as long as price and interest rate movements were relatively small. But recent increases in the level and volatility of market interest rates have made this mortgage contract less desirable to lender and borrower alike. A home is the largest single purchase that most Americans make and the largest single item in their wealth portfolio. Because of the magnitude of the expense—generally some two to three times the purchaser's annual income—a large portion of the purchase price of most homes is borrowed. The owner's downpayment, which represents the initial equity, is generally only 10 to 30 percent of the purchase price. As a result, the cost, terms, and availability of mortgage credit are an important part of the home purchase decision. In recent years the cost of obtaining mortgage credit has increased sharply. For example, in 1971 the average interest rate on a 30-year single-family fixed-coupon, fixedpayment mortgage with a loan-to-value ratio of 90 percent was about 7 3/4 percent. In 1975 the rate on this mortgage had climbed to 9 percent, and in 1980 it reached 12 1/2 percent. On a 90 percent fixed-rate, fixed-payment mortgage on a median price home of $24,800 in 1971, this represented monthly payments of $160. The payments on a new mortgage on a home of the same price would have increased to $182 in 1975 and $238 in 1980. But the median price of existing homes also increased, from $24,800 in 1971 to $62,200 in 1980. Thus, a rate of 121/2 percent on a 90 percent fixed-rate, fixed-payment mortgage of $55,980 translates into monthly payments of $597. Monthly payments have increased considerably faster than household income. In 1971 the annual sum of monthly payments was equal to 19 percent of the median family income of $10,285. In 1980 this percentage had almost doubled to 34 percent of an estimated median family income of $21,652. 1 Some households found this percentage too high to pay and, as a result, decided not to purchase a house. Because most homebuyers are already housed and will sell their homes when buying another, the higher mortgage rates reduce the turnover of existing homes and thus labor mobility, but have relatively little effect on the overall stock of housing. The demand for newly constructed housing is more severely impacted, but it accounts for only a small proportion of total housing. In the 1970s the average 1.7 million new units constructed annually accounted for only about 2.2 percent of the total housing stock of some 79 million units. The heaviest burden of the increase in mortgage payments falls on first-time home buyers, who did not share in the rapid appreciation in home prices and the permissible tax-free transfer of gains from one home to another, and, in particular, on younger households, whose current incomes tend to be below the average for all households. In addi-
在通货膨胀环境下改善住房融资:替代住房抵押贷款工具
替代抵押贷款工具是抵押贷款计划,旨在适应比传统抵押贷款更好的住房抵押贷款借款人,抵押贷款机构,或两者的当前需求。长期固定利率、固定付款的抵押贷款在20世纪30年代成为美国流行的抵押贷款类型,只要价格和利率变动相对较小,它就能很好地服务于借款人和贷款人。但最近市场利率水平的上升和波动,使得这种抵押贷款合同对贷款人和借款人都不那么理想了。房屋是大多数美国人最大的一笔消费,也是他们财富组合中最大的一项。由于花费的巨大——通常是购买者年收入的两到三倍——大多数房屋的购买价格的很大一部分是借来的。业主的首付款,即初始权益,通常只占购买价的10%到30%。因此,成本、条款和抵押贷款的可用性是购房决策的重要组成部分。近年来,获得抵押贷款的成本急剧上升。例如,1971年,贷款价值比为90%的30年期单户固定息票、固定付款抵押贷款的平均利率约为7.75%。1975年,这种抵押贷款的利率攀升至9%,1980年达到12.5%。1971年,一套中位价24,800美元的房屋,固定利率和固定付款比例为90%,这意味着每月还款额为160美元。同样价格的房屋,新抵押贷款的支付额在1975年将增加到182美元,1980年将增加到238美元。但现房的中位数价格也有所上升,从1971年的2.48万美元(约合人民币62,200元)升至1980年的6.22万美元(约合人民币62,800元)。因此,固定利率为90%,固定付款的抵押贷款为55,980美元,利率为122.5%,换算成每月支付597美元。月供的增长速度远远快于家庭收入的增长速度。1971年,月供总额相当于家庭收入中位数10285美元的19%。1980年,这一比例几乎翻了一番,达到家庭收入中位数21652美元的34%。一些家庭发现这个比例太高,无法支付,因此决定不买房。由于大多数购房者已经有了住房,在购买新住房时将卖掉自己的住房,较高的抵押贷款利率减少了现有住房的周转率,从而减少了劳动力的流动性,但对住房的总体存量影响相对较小。新建住房的需求受到更严重的影响,但它只占住房总量的一小部分。在20世纪70年代,平均每年建造的170万套新住房仅占总住房存量约7900万套的2.2%。抵押贷款支付增加的最重负担落在了首次购房者身上,他们没有分享到房价的快速升值,也没有从一所房子到另一所房子的免税转移收益,尤其是年轻的家庭,他们目前的收入往往低于所有家庭的平均水平。在另外
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