Research on fire prediction model based on improved Harris hawk optimization algorithm

Yong-dong Wang, Kai-Xin Yuan, Xiangrui Cao
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Abstract

Accurate prediction of fire environment changes is helpful to accurately grasp the development trend of fire and ensure the safety of personnel. It is difficult to establish an accurate prediction model because of the coexistence of multiple parameters, complex coupling relationship, time series and nonlinearity of fire environment. In this paper, long shortterm memory network model (LSTM) based on improved Harris Hawk algorithm (CHHO) is proposed to achieve accurate prediction of fire environment data. Then, CHHO is used to optimize the hyperparameters in LSTM, and the fire temperature is predicted based on the optimized parameters. The experimental results show that the method of CHHO automatic parameter selection solves the problem of manual selection of LSTM model parameters and gives full play to the best performance of the model. The five environmental parameters of indoor fire temperature was predicted. The average fitting effect of CHHO-LSTM reached 94 %. The results show that the model has high prediction accuracy.
基于改进哈里斯鹰优化算法的火灾预测模型研究
准确预测火灾环境变化,有助于准确把握火灾发展趋势,确保人员安全。由于火灾环境多参数共存、耦合关系复杂、时间序列和非线性等特点,难以建立准确的预测模型。为了实现对火灾环境数据的准确预测,本文提出了基于改进哈里斯鹰算法(CHHO)的长短期记忆网络模型(LSTM)。然后,利用CHHO对LSTM中的超参数进行优化,并根据优化后的参数对火灾温度进行预测。实验结果表明,CHHO自动参数选择方法解决了人工选择LSTM模型参数的问题,充分发挥了模型的最佳性能。对室内火灾温度的5个环境参数进行了预测。CHHO-LSTM的平均拟合效果达到94%。结果表明,该模型具有较高的预测精度。
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