Optimal Design of Multi-stress Accelerated Degradation Tests Based on Bootstrap Method

L. Gen, Wang Zhihua, Shi Gongcheng, Li Lu
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Abstract

Step-stress accelerated degradation tests (SSADTs) have been applied to obtain products’ reliability information when the available test time is limited. As the products performance is generally affected by multiple stresses, optimal design for multiple SSADT is very necessary to guarantee the assessment accuracy and improve the test efficiency. In the current study, a multi-stress step-stress accelerated degradation model is first proposed, which can reasonably depict the comprehensive influence of accelerated stress levels on degradation regulation Then an optimal design method involving a bootstrap-based objective function is constructed, where multiple decision variables involving sample allocation and test time arrangement for each stress level can be simultaneously optimized based on genetic algorithm (GA) and Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, a simulation example is implemented, and a series of conventional methods are compared to illustrate the superiority of the proposed method. The comparative results and sensitivity analysis results both demonstrate the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method.
基于自举法的多应力加速退化试验优化设计
在试验时间有限的情况下,采用步进应力加速退化试验(SSADTs)获取产品的可靠性信息。由于产品的性能一般会受到多重应力的影响,为了保证评估精度和提高测试效率,对多重SSADT进行优化设计是非常必要的。本研究首先提出了一种多应力阶跃-应力加速退化模型,该模型能合理地描述加速应力水平对退化调控的综合影响,然后构造了一种基于自举目标函数的优化设计方法。其中,基于遗传算法(GA)和蒙特卡罗模拟,可以同时优化各个应力水平下涉及样本分配和测试时间安排的多个决策变量。最后通过仿真算例,对比了一系列传统方法,说明了所提方法的优越性。对比结果和灵敏度分析结果均证明了该方法的有效性和合理性。
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