Is the Border Effect an Artefact of Geographical Aggregation?

Carlos Llano-Verduras, Asier Minondo, F. Requena‐Silvente
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引用次数: 43

Abstract

The existence of a large border effect is considered as one of the main puzzles of international macroeconomics. We show that the border effect is, to a large extent, an artefact of geographic concentration. In order to do so we combine international flows with intranational flows data characterised by a high geographic grid. At this fine grid, intra-national flows are highly localised and dropping sharply with distance. The use of a small geographical unit of reference to measure intra-national bilateral trade flows allows to estimating correctly the negative impact of distance on shipments. When we use sector disaggregated export flows of 50 Spanish provinces in years 2000 and 2005 split into interprovincial and inter-national flows, we find that the border effect is reduced substantially and even becomes statistically not different from zero in some estimations.
边界效应是地理聚集的产物吗?
大边界效应的存在是国际宏观经济学的主要难题之一。我们表明,边界效应在很大程度上是地理集中的人工产物。为了做到这一点,我们将国际流量与以高地理网格为特征的国内流量数据结合起来。在这个精细的网格中,国内流动是高度局部化的,并且随着距离的增加而急剧下降。使用一个小的地理参考单位来衡量国内双边贸易流量,可以正确地估计距离对运输的负面影响。当我们将2000年和2005年西班牙50个省的部门分类出口流量分为省际和国际流量时,我们发现边界效应大大降低,甚至在某些估计中统计上与零没有差异。
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