Going Dutch: How the Netherlands Escaped its Golden Fetters, 1925–1936

Christopher L. Colvin, Philip T. Fliers
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Abstract

The interwar gold standard is long thought to have prevented central bankers from running an independent monetary policy, forcing governments to leave this fixed exchange rate system in order to take control over domestic policy. But our study of the day-to-day management of monetary policy in the Netherlands reveals that officials were both willing and able to deviate from the monetary policy paths set by other countries, all while remaining firmly within the gold bloc. The Netherlands could afford to stay on gold thanks to its central bank’s plentiful gold reserves. Additionally, we find that central bankers could quell any speculation against the guilder by exploiting their domestic policy influence and international reputation to restrict capital mobility. However, remaining on gold until September 1936 came at a cost. Our international comparisons and counterfactual simulations suggest that Dutch policymakers could have avoided a deepening the Great Depression by leaving gold alongside the UK in 1931. Our research opens new perspectives on the golden fetters literature, and revises the historiography on Dutch interwar monetary policy, by describing the operationalisation of the gold standard in the 1930s, and quantifying the costs of continued gold standard adherence.
《各付各的:荷兰如何摆脱黄金镣铐,1925-1936
长期以来,人们一直认为,两次世界大战之间的金本位制阻碍了各国央行执行独立的货币政策,迫使各国政府放弃这种固定汇率制度,以便掌控国内政策。但我们对荷兰货币政策日常管理的研究表明,官员们既愿意也能够偏离其他国家设定的货币政策路径,同时又牢牢地留在黄金集团内。由于荷兰央行拥有丰富的黄金储备,荷兰可以继续使用黄金。此外,我们发现央行行长可以通过利用其国内政策影响力和国际声誉来限制资本流动来平息任何针对盾的投机行为。然而,在1936年9月之前继续使用金本位制是有代价的。我们的国际比较和反事实模拟表明,荷兰政策制定者本可以通过在1931年与英国一起放弃金本位来避免大萧条的加深。我们的研究通过描述20世纪30年代金本位的运作,并量化持续遵守金本位的成本,为黄金束缚文学开辟了新的视角,并修订了荷兰两次世界大战之间货币政策的史学。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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