Investigating the Income Inequality in Indonesia: An Application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach

Zulfa Nazli, A. Jamal, M. Nasir
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of economic growth, urban population, unemployment, and human capital on income inequality in Indonesia. Annual data collected from World Development Indicator (WDI) is used from 1984 to 2019. The analytical method of this research is Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) to examine the short and long-term relationships. The results show that economic growth positively and significantly affects income inequality in the short and long term. The urban population variable has a significant negative effect in the short term but not in the long term. The unemployment variable has a significant positive effect in the long run. Finally, human capital negatively affects the short term while not in the long term. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the government stabilize inequality by increasing progressive taxes, creating jobs, providing soft skills training beyond formal education, and socializing the concept of commuter work.
研究印尼的收入不平等:自回归分布滞后方法的应用
本研究考察了印尼经济增长、城市人口、失业和人力资本对收入不平等的影响。从1984年到2019年,使用世界发展指标(WDI)收集的年度数据。本研究的分析方法是自回归分布滞后(ARDL)来检验短期和长期的关系。研究结果表明,经济增长在短期和长期内对收入不平等都有显著的正向影响。城市人口变量在短期内具有显著的负向影响,但在长期内不具有显著的负向影响。长期来看,失业变量具有显著的正效应。最后,人力资本在短期内产生负面影响,但在长期内不会产生负面影响。基于这些发现,建议政府通过增加累进税、创造就业机会、提供正规教育之外的软技能培训以及将通勤工作的概念社会化来稳定不平等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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