Balancing prosperity and security along the Digital Silk Road

Scott L. Malcomson
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Abstract

Concerns about China’s ambitions to return to the global centre stage as a great power have recently begun to focus on the Digital Silk Road (DSR), an umbrella term for various activities – commercial and diplomatic – of interest to the Chinese government in the cyber realm. Part of (or a spin-off from) the 2013 Belt and Road Initiative, by 2020 the DSR had become a focal point of China’s foreign policy. But the DSR remains ill-defined and poorly understood. At the heart of such concerns is not that Chinese technology companies are becoming globally competitive, but rather that Beijing could use them to ‘rewire’ the global digital architecture, from physical cables to code. Dominance by Chinese technology could shift global norms from a free cyber commons to competing systems of cyber sovereignty or cyber freedom. This Adelphi book brings together eight experts to examine the development of the DSR; explore its impact on economics, security and governance in recipient countries; and assess its broader impact on patterns of economic and technological dependence, on the emerging rules and norms of tech globalisation, and on global geopolitics and great-power relations. Beijing has grasped the opportunity to leverage the entrepreneurial strengths of its private tech sector to gain prominence in the world’s digital ecosystem. But the more interventionist Beijing becomes, the more Chinese firms will be seen as instruments of the state, and the greater the pushback against Chinese technology and the DSR may be. To achieve great-power status and global centrality, Beijing might ultimately need to change tack. How it innovates in further rolling out Chinese tech across the world, and what the DSR will then look like, will have far-reaching impacts on global economics, politics and security.
平衡数字丝绸之路沿线的繁荣与安全
对中国作为一个大国重返全球中心舞台的雄心的担忧,最近开始关注数字丝绸之路(DSR),这是中国政府在网络领域感兴趣的各种商业和外交活动的总称。作为2013年“一带一路”倡议的一部分(或衍生品),到2020年,“一带一路”已成为中国外交政策的焦点。但DSR仍然定义不清,理解也很差。这些担忧的核心不是中国科技公司正变得具有全球竞争力,而是中国政府可能利用它们“重新布线”全球数字架构,从物理电缆到代码。中国技术的主导地位可能会将全球规范从自由的网络公地转变为相互竞争的网络主权或网络自由体系。这本阿德菲书汇集了八位专家来研究DSR的发展;探讨其对受援国经济、安全和治理的影响;并评估其对经济和技术依赖模式、新兴的技术全球化规则和规范,以及全球地缘政治和大国关系的更广泛影响。北京抓住了这个机会,利用其私营科技行业的创业优势,在世界数字生态系统中获得突出地位。但中国政府的干预力度越大,中国企业就越会被视为国家的工具,对中国技术和DSR的抵制可能就越大。为了获得大国地位和全球中心地位,北京可能最终需要改变策略。它如何创新,在全球范围内进一步推广中国技术,以及届时DSR将是什么样子,将对全球经济、政治和安全产生深远影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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