The Predictive Audit Framework

Abstract

Assurance is an essential part of the business process of the modern enterprise. Auditing is a widely used assurance method made mandatory for public companies since 1934. The traditional (retroactive) audit provides after-the-fact audit reports, and is of limited value in the ever changing modern business environment because it is slow and backwards looking. Contemporary auditing and monitoring technologies could shorten the audit and assurance time frame. This paper proposes the predictive audit, a forward looking contemporary audit that will bring the assurance processes, financial and non-financial, closer to the corresponding events. Rather than merely looking backward to historical data and past errors or anomalies, a predictive audit will identify possible exceptions proactively by comparing each transaction to a normative model before that transaction is executed. The paper also discusses the possibility of performing a predictive audit in a preventive manner � a preventive audit where transactions are blocked prior to execution.