Study on Spatiotemporal Distribution Characteristics of High Temperature and Heat Waves in Southwest China from 1979 to 2019

Yue Zhang, Tiangui Xiao, Juetao Zeng, Yu Du
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In the context of global warming, extreme warming events occur frequently. In order to further study the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of heat wave in southwest China, in this paper, linear trend analysis and Mann-Kendall test are used to study the spatial and temporal distribution of heat waves in southwest China. The 1979-2019 summer temperature data of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are used. The following conclusions are drawn: Over the past 41 years, the frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves have shown a general trend of linear increase, with the rates of 0.09 times/10a, 0.37 d/10a and 0.44 ̊C∙d, respectively. From the mutation situation, before 2013, the frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves showed an increasing trend, but the increasing trend was not significant. After 2013, the frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves showed a significant increase trend. The spatial distribution of the frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves is more in the southeast and less in the northwest. The heat waves areas were concentrated in the central and eastern part of the study area, while the hot and heat wave events were rare in western Sichuan and southwestern Yunnan. Except for western Yunnan and western Sichuan, the frequency, duration and intensity of heat waves in the study area all showed an increasing trend. The central region of the study area had a larger increasing trend, and the regions that passed the 0.05 significance test were also concentrated in the central region.
1979 - 2019年中国西南地区高温、热浪时空分布特征研究
在全球变暖的背景下,极端变暖事件频繁发生。为了进一步研究西南地区热浪的时空分布特征,本文采用线性趋势分析和Mann-Kendall检验对西南地区热浪的时空分布进行了研究。使用欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF) 1979-2019年夏季气温数据。结果表明:近41 a来,热浪发生的频率、持续时间和强度均呈线性增加的趋势,分别为0.09次/10a、0.37 d/10a和0.44℃∙d;从突变情况看,2013年以前,热浪的频次、持续时间和强度均呈增加趋势,但增加趋势不显著;2013年以后,热浪发生的频率、持续时间和强度均呈显著增加趋势。热浪频率、持续时间和强度的空间分布呈现东南偏多、西北偏少的趋势。热浪区主要集中在研究区的中部和东部,而川西和云南西南部的高温和热浪事件较少。除滇西和川西地区外,研究区热浪发生的频率、持续时间和强度均呈增加趋势。研究区的中心区域有较大的增长趋势,通过0.05显著性检验的区域也集中在中心区域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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