Democracy Sanctions an Assessment of Economic Sanctions as an Instrument of Democracy Promotion

Stephen Collins
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Democracy promotion is often dismissed as a futile American foreign policy endeavor. Economic sanctions conventionally are derided as ineffective and counterproductive. Consequently, one might predict that the use of economic sanctions to promote democracy would represent a hopelessly inept strategy. This study finds, conversely, that sanctions represent a relatively effective instrument of democracy promotion. The idea that sanctions were futile was minted in the bipolar era, when the structural attributes of the international system limited the effectiveness of superpower sanctions. After the marked shift in the polar configuration of power upon the disappearance of the Soviet Union, however, the structural attributes of the system presented a more benign environment for the sanctions efforts of the United States. A comparative analysis of the use of democracy sanctions in the bipolar era versus those implemented in the 1990s reveals that sanctions became significantly more effective. This essay examines the causal origins of the increase in the effectiveness of democracy sanctions, and considers whether the high success rate for the approach can be sustained into the near future in light of recent challenges to American hegemony.
民主制裁:对经济制裁作为促进民主工具的评估
促进民主常常被视为徒劳的美国外交政策努力。经济制裁通常被嘲笑为无效和适得其反。因此,人们可能会预测,使用经济制裁来促进民主将是一种无可救药的无能策略。相反,这项研究发现,制裁是促进民主的一种相对有效的工具。制裁无效的观点产生于两极时代,当时国际体系的结构性特征限制了超级大国制裁的有效性。然而,在苏联解体后权力两极格局发生显著变化之后,该体系的结构属性为美国的制裁努力提供了更为有利的环境。对两极时代民主制裁的使用与1990年代实施的制裁的比较分析表明,制裁变得更加有效。本文考察了民主制裁有效性提高的因果起源,并考虑了鉴于最近对美国霸权的挑战,这种方法的高成功率是否可以持续到不久的将来。
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