Bayesian Analysis for Parameters of Multivariate tFA model with Simulation

A. Sami, H. Saieed
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Abstract

In many kinds of pollution, such as economic and environmental pollution, the researchers use the normal linear model to present their data studies. That selection may be inaccurate because the data of those studies do not vacate from outlier observations, which have great effect on the estimation problem even if they are processed or removed from the sample study. These processes lead to facts defacement to the decision maker. For that reason, the non-normal linear models has been found out to combat that matter. That error term in these models belongs to the family of probability distributions which resist outliers, for example, the multivariate distributions. The factor analysis model belongs to the family of linear models and because the multivariate data sets do not vacate outliers .For this reason this paper is concerned with studying the t factor analysis model. The model analyzed by Bayesian technique in which the common factors are treated as fixed and random variables . We supposed that all parameters of both two models were unknown and their prior distributions belong to conjugate families. The number of extracted factors in factor analysis models cannot be determined a prior .On this foundation, in Bayesian analysis, these factors are treated as random variables. We obtained a posterior probability criterion to choose the number of extracted factors for the two models. We choose the number of factors in which they must be entered, and the model which they have maximum posterior probability. All results that we concluded were applied to empirical data sets which are generated by simulation in two different sample sizes (n=50,100) at different values of the degrees of freedom for the distribution of the error term. Also, we selected different forms of factor loading matrix and variance matrix of error term. Matlab (7.9) language is used in data generation and analysis.
多元tFA模型参数的贝叶斯分析与仿真
在许多种类的污染中,例如经济污染和环境污染,研究人员使用正态线性模型来呈现他们的数据研究。这种选择可能是不准确的,因为这些研究的数据没有从离群值观察中抽离出来,这些离群值观察对估计问题有很大的影响,即使它们被处理或从样本研究中删除。这些过程导致决策者对事实的歪曲。出于这个原因,非正态线性模型已经被发现来解决这个问题。这些模型中的误差项属于不受离群值影响的概率分布族,例如多元分布。因子分析模型属于线性模型,由于多变量数据集不存在异常值,因此本文对因子分析模型进行了研究。该模型采用贝叶斯技术,将公共因素作为固定变量和随机变量进行分析。我们假设两个模型的所有参数都是未知的,它们的先验分布属于共轭族。因子分析模型中提取因子的数量不能预先确定。在此基础上,在贝叶斯分析中,这些因子被视为随机变量。我们获得了一个后验概率准则来选择两个模型中提取因子的数量。我们选择它们必须输入的因素数量,以及它们具有最大后验概率的模型。我们得出的所有结果都应用于经验数据集,这些数据集是在误差项分布的不同自由度值下,在两种不同样本量(n=50,100)中模拟生成的。选择了不同形式的因子载荷矩阵和误差项方差矩阵。使用Matlab(7.9)语言进行数据生成和分析。
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