Optimal Scheduling of Electricity-Gas Integrated Energy System Based on Conditional Value at Risk Theory

Qinxing Tian, Jiandong Duan, F. Liu
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Abstract

With the large-scale grid connection of wind power with strong uncertainty, the output of power generation side is uncontrollable, which affects the reliable operation of power system and reduces the social benefits of renewable energy generation. In order to effectively reduce the adverse impact of wind power consumption on power grid, an optimal dispatching model of electricity-gas integrated energy system (EGIES) considering the uncertainty of wind power output is established. Firstly, based on the mathematical model of power grid, natural gas network and coupling equipment, the economic dispatch of integrated energy system (IES) is studied. In addition, the conditional value at risk (CVaR) theory is used to describe the risk loss faced by wind power uncertainty, and the risk loss function evaluated by CVaR theory is introduced into the objective function. Finally, taking IEEE33-24 as an example, it is verified that introducing CVaR into IES scheduling model can effectively reduce the running cost of the system and improve the running security. At the same time, the simulation results also show the influence of the change of confidence level and risk coefficient on IES.
基于风险条件值理论的电-气一体化能源系统优化调度
风电大规模并网,不确定性强,发电侧输出不可控,影响电力系统的可靠运行,降低了可再生能源发电的社会效益。为了有效降低风电消纳对电网的不利影响,建立了考虑风电输出不确定性的电-气一体化能源系统(EGIES)优化调度模型。首先,基于电网、天然气网和耦合设备的数学模型,研究了综合能源系统的经济调度问题。此外,采用条件风险值(CVaR)理论描述风电不确定性所面临的风险损失,并将CVaR理论评估的风险损失函数引入目标函数。最后,以IEEE33-24为例,验证了在IES调度模型中引入CVaR能有效降低系统运行成本,提高运行安全性。同时,仿真结果也显示了置信度和风险系数的变化对IES的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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