Czy Polska wpadła w pułapkę średniego dochodu?

A. Sieroń
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Purpose – The aim of the study is to determine whether Poland has fallen into a middle-income trap. Research method – The article uses a critical appraisal of literature and reasoning.  Results – The analysis carried out indicate that both the theoretical and empirical foundations of  the middle-income trap are very weak. Even if we assume that the trap exists, Poland, with GDP per capita amounting to above $28,000, luckily hasn’t fallen into it, according to most criteria. Hence, that concept should not guide the country’s economic policy. The recommendations for economic policy put forward on the basis of the middle income trap hypothesis will not be appropriate, and may even be counterproductive.
目的-该研究的目的是确定波兰是否陷入了中等收入陷阱。研究方法-文章使用文献和推理的批判性评价。结果——分析表明,中等收入陷阱的理论和实证基础都非常薄弱。即使我们假设这个陷阱存在,按照大多数标准,人均GDP超过2.8万美元的波兰也幸运地没有掉进去。因此,这种观念不应该指导国家的经济政策。在中等收入陷阱假设的基础上提出的经济政策建议是不合适的,甚至可能适得其反。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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