The State of Play of Reproducibility in Statistics: An Empirical Analysis

Xin Xiong, Ivor Cribben
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Abstract Reproducibility, the ability to reproduce the results of published papers or studies using their computer code and data, is a cornerstone of reliable scientific methodology. Studies where results cannot be reproduced by the scientific community should be treated with caution. Over the past decade, the importance of reproducible research has been frequently stressed in a wide range of scientific journals such as Nature and Science and international magazines such as The Economist. However, multiple studies have demonstrated that scientific results are often not reproducible across research areas such as psychology and medicine. Statistics, the science concerned with developing and studying methods for collecting, analyzing, interpreting and presenting empirical data, prides itself on its openness when it comes to sharing both computer code and data. In this article, we examine reproducibility in the field of statistics by attempting to reproduce the results in 93 published papers in prominent journals using functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data during the 2010–2021 period. Overall, from both the computer code and the data perspective, among all the 93 examined papers, we could only reproduce the results in 14 (15.1%) papers, that is, the papers provide both executable computer code (or software) with the real fMRI data, and our results matched the results in the paper. Finally, we conclude with some author-specific and journal-specific recommendations to improve the research reproducibility in statistics.
统计学中再现性的现状:一个实证分析
可重复性,即利用已发表的论文或研究的计算机代码和数据再现其结果的能力,是可靠的科学方法论的基石。如果研究结果不能被科学界复制,则应谨慎对待。在过去的十年里,《自然》和《科学》等一系列科学期刊以及《经济学人》等国际杂志经常强调可重复性研究的重要性。然而,多项研究表明,科学结果往往不能在心理学和医学等研究领域重现。统计学是一门开发和研究收集、分析、解释和呈现经验数据的方法的科学,在共享计算机代码和数据方面,统计学以其开放性而自豪。在本文中,我们通过使用2010-2021年期间的功能磁共振成像(fMRI)数据,试图重现在著名期刊上发表的93篇论文的结果,来检验统计学领域的可重复性。总的来说,从计算机代码和数据的角度来看,在93篇被检查的论文中,我们只能重现14篇(15.1%)论文的结果,即这些论文提供了可执行的计算机代码(或软件)和真实的fMRI数据,我们的结果与论文的结果相匹配。最后,我们总结了一些针对作者和期刊的建议,以提高统计研究的可重复性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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