Comparative Study of Pair Trading Techniques in Pakistan’s Financial and Non-Financial Sector

M. Afzal, M. Usman, A. Raheman
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Abstract

Purpose: This study attempts to empirically investigate the pair trading performance of financial and non-financial firms in Pakistan. Methodology: Daily data from 2008 to 2017 was collected for nine years. Cointegration and the distance approach were the two major analytical techniques used to evaluate the profitability of pair trading. The financial and non-financial sectors of the Pakistan Stock Exchange were used to build the pairs. Findings: Results showed that the top 5 pairs of portfolios exhibited the highest average excess returns of 0.0698, and Jensen's alpha is 0.0947 for the top 5 pairs. All pairs of firms showed significant and positive risk-adjusted performance. In the non-financial sector, the Top 10 pairs of portfolios had the highest average excess returns of 0.0789, and Jensen's alpha under the co-integration method for non-financial firms for all pairs 5, 10, 15, and 20 of the portfolios is also substantial and positive for risk-adjusted performance, with 0.0046, 0.0618, 0.0577, and 0.0493, respectively. Finally, pair trading under both techniques showed profitability. However, the co-integration technique exhibited better performance than the distance method. Conclusion: The study concluded that both pair trading techniques, particularly the co-integration technique, exhibited profitable pair trading performance that can assist investors and fund managers to earn positive returns on their investments regardless of market direction.
巴基斯坦金融与非金融部门配对交易技术比较研究
目的:本研究试图对巴基斯坦金融和非金融企业的配对交易绩效进行实证研究。方法:收集2008 - 2017年9年的日常数据。协整法和距离法是用来评估配对交易盈利能力的两种主要分析技术。巴基斯坦证券交易所的金融和非金融部门被用来建立这些货币对。结果表明,前5对投资组合的平均超额收益率最高,为0.0698,前5对投资组合的Jensen’s alpha为0.0947。所有对企业均表现出显著的正风险调整绩效。在非金融领域,前10对投资组合的平均超额收益最高,为0.0789,非金融公司的协整方法下,投资组合的所有对5、10、15和20的Jensen’s alpha对于风险调整后的绩效也非常可观,分别为0.0046、0.0618、0.0577和0.0493。最后,两种技术下的配对交易都显示出盈利能力。然而,协整技术表现出比距离法更好的性能。结论:本文的研究结论是,无论市场走向如何,两种配对交易技术,尤其是协整技术,都表现出有利可图的配对交易绩效,可以帮助投资者和基金经理在其投资中获得正回报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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