Integrated approach for optimizing service level and reproduction point under stochastic demand

Zhao Yong-quan, Fang Shu-fen, Lu Li-bin, Wu Chong
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Abstract

An integrated model for studying demand uncertainty in the production-inventory problem is proposed. To realize the integrative decision of service level and reproduction point, the service level of a production-inventory system is defined as the probability of satisfying product demand in each period. Inventory variation in stochastic demand is analyzed, and the average inventory in planning periods is invited into the decision model. The planning output in every period is stochastic variables having the same distributions with the production demands. The approach is demonstrated in case of a Chinese automobile company. Sensitivity analysis shows the significant influence of production cycle and standard deviation on optimal reproduction point and the expected profit
随机需求下服务水平和再生点优化的集成方法
提出了一个研究生产-库存问题中需求不确定性的综合模型。为实现服务水平与再生产点的一体化决策,将生产-库存系统的服务水平定义为各阶段满足产品需求的概率。分析了随机需求条件下的库存变化,并将规划期内的平均库存引入决策模型。各时期的计划产出是与生产需求具有相同分布的随机变量。该方法以一家中国汽车公司为例进行了验证。灵敏度分析表明,生产周期和标准差对最优再生产点和期望利润有显著影响
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