Financial market anomalies: evidence from Tunisia stock market

B. Ahmed, Regaieg Boutheina
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate the presence of seasonal market anomalies (calendar anomalies) and to analyze their effects on the behavior of financial investors in terms of decisions and profit on the Tunisian market during the entire period that starts on January 2003 and ends on 31 December 2015. This work examines four calendar effects which are the new week of the year (WOY), the day of the week (DOW), the week of the month (WOM) and month of the year (MOY) effects using daily data of Tunisian Stock Market Index (TUNINDEX closing price) and dummy variables based on a GARCH (1,1) regression model adopted by Levy and Yagil (2012) to demonstrate whether the anomalies exist on the Tunisian market. The findings show that the returns for Friday are always positively significant. In contrast, the returns for October are almost negatively significant and low compared to other months. We also find that market calendar anomalies are clues to help investors improving their trading strategies and timing their investments to make abnormal profits.
金融市场异常:来自突尼斯股市的证据
本研究的目的是调查季节性市场异常(日历异常)的存在,并分析其在2003年1月开始至2015年12月31日结束的整个期间对突尼斯市场决策和利润方面的金融投资者行为的影响。本研究利用突尼斯股票市场指数(TUNINDEX收盘价)的每日数据和基于GARCH(1,1)回归模型的虚拟变量(Levy和Yagil(2012)采用了GARCH(1,1)回归模型来证明突尼斯市场是否存在异常现象,研究了四种日历效应,即一年中的新一周(WOY)、一周中的一天(DOW)、月份中的一周(WOM)和一年中的月份(MOY)效应。结果表明,周五的收益总是正显著的。相比之下,10月份的回报率几乎是负显著的,与其他月份相比也很低。我们还发现,市场日历异常是帮助投资者改善交易策略和选择投资时机以获得异常利润的线索。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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