Pendekatan VECM Pada Variabel FDI dan Impor Terhadap Cadangan Devisa Negara

Husnul Holifah, Lorentino Togar Laut
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Abstract

Foreign Exchange Reserves is an important economic variable that gets great attention from world countries, especially for developing countries where it plays a role in the amount of foreign exchange owned by the government or private sector of a country. This study analyzes the relationship between FDI and Import variables on foreign exchange reserves which are expected to affect the movement of foreign exchange reserves for the period 1991-2021. The method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) after it is known that there is a cointegration relationship in the VAR model test. The results show that in the short term, the FDI variable has no significant effect on foreign exchange reserves
FDI变量和进口国家外汇储备的VECM方法
外汇储备是一个重要的经济变量,受到世界各国,特别是发展中国家的高度关注,它在一个国家的政府或私营部门拥有的外汇数量中起着重要的作用。本研究分析了预计将影响1991-2021年期间外汇储备变动的外国直接投资和进口变量对外汇储备的关系。在已知VAR模型检验中存在协整关系后,使用的方法是向量误差修正模型(VECM)。结果表明,在短期内,FDI变量对外汇储备没有显著影响
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