An Intelligent Technique For The Effective Prediction Of Monkeypox Outbreak

Abstract

Monkey pox is a viral disease that spreads from animals especially monkey to human beings. Monkey pox outbreak has been increasing at a concerning rate. The outbreak of monkey pox has infected several people around the world. The extent and intensity of the disease can be determined by the occurrence of the symptoms. The objective of this paper is to predict monkeypox virus so that outbreak can be administered before monkeypox looms as a viral health hazard. The monkeypox case has been classified as confirmed, discarded and suspected. This paper uses a supervised machine learning model to predict the status of monkey pox case. To diagnose monkeypox virus case, clinical parameters are required. The selected dataset contains the parameters of monkey pox virus from April 2022 onwards. It is necessary to predict the monkey pox outbreak before it effects more valuable lives. For the purpose of this paper, supervised machine learning techniques have been used to determine the performance of the dataset through experimental analysis. The experiment has been performed using various classifiers such as Decision tree, Naïve Bayes etc. to compare the accuracy rate. After the comparative analysis of the resulting accuracy percentage of different classifiers, we have proposed the model with the classifier with the highest accuracy. Our proposed model has achieved an accuracy rate of 93.51% using K-NN classifier with k=5 neighbors. Rapid miner platform is used for the application of the machine learning tools and techniques for the purpose of this research. This paper highlights the effective machine learning steps for the development of highly accurate model using machine learning techniques on monkey pox outbreak dataset.