A Meta-Analysis of Estimates of the Impact of Technical Barriers to Trade

Yuan Li, J. Beghin
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引用次数: 89

Abstract

A meta-analysis explains the variation in estimated trade effects of technical barriers to trade broadly defined, using available estimates from the empirical international trade literature, and accounting for data sampling and methodology differences. Agriculture and food industries tend to be more impeded by these barriers than other sectors. SPS regulations on agricultural and food trade flows from developing exporters to high-income importers tend to impede trade. Not controlling for “multilateral resistance” barriers increase the likelihood to overstate the trade impeding effect of technical measures and not accounting for their potential endogeneity with trade does the opposite. Studies using direct maximum residue limits tend to find more trade impeding effects than other measures and clearer policy implications. Other technical measures proxies tend to muddle results and increase the likelihood of inconclusive results and few policy implications.
技术性贸易壁垒影响估计的元分析
一项荟萃分析解释了广义技术贸易壁垒的估计贸易效应的差异,使用了来自经验国际贸易文献的现有估计,并考虑了数据抽样和方法差异。农业和食品工业往往比其他部门更容易受到这些壁垒的阻碍。关于农业和食品贸易从发展中出口国流向高收入进口国的SPS法规往往会阻碍贸易。不控制“多边阻力”壁垒会增加夸大技术措施的贸易阻碍作用的可能性,而不考虑其与贸易的潜在内生性则会适得其反。使用直接最大残留限量的研究往往会发现,与其他措施相比,贸易阻碍效应更大,政策影响也更明确。其他技术措施的代理往往会混淆结果,增加不确定结果和很少政策影响的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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