The Rise in Women’s Labor-Force Participation in Mexico—Supply vs. Demand Factors

Sonia Bhalotra, Manuel Fernández
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Abstract

This study estimates the relative importance of alternative supply and demand mechanisms in explaining the rise of female labor-force participation (FLFP) over the last 55 years in Mexico. The growth of FLFP in Mexico between 1960 and 2015 followed an S-shaped, with a considerable acceleration during the 1990s. Using descriptive decomposition methods and a shift-share design, the study shows that, put together, supply and demand factors can account for most of the rise of FLFP over the entire period, led by increases in women’s education, declining fertility, and shifts in the occupational structure of the workforce. However, there is unexplained variation in the 1990s, when FLFP spiked.
墨西哥女性劳动力参与率的上升——供需因素
本研究估计了替代供给和需求机制在解释过去55年来墨西哥女性劳动力参与率(FLFP)上升中的相对重要性。1960年至2015年期间,墨西哥FLFP的增长呈s型,在20世纪90年代大幅加速。通过描述性分解方法和变动份额设计,该研究表明,供给和需求因素可以解释整个时期内FLFP上升的大部分原因,主要原因是妇女受教育程度的提高、生育率的下降和劳动力职业结构的变化。然而,在20世纪90年代,当FLFP飙升时,出现了无法解释的变异。
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