Coronavirus Spreading Analysis Using Dynamic Spreading Factor Epidemic Models

Zahra Farahi, A. Kamandi
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Abstract

By the growing number of viruses and also epidemics, predicting and controlling the epidemics have high priority in today's human life. Network theory is a useful instrument for modelling the epidemics. As we can see, some predictions have been proposed for the disease like influenza (N1H1 virus). In this paper we aimed to compare the spreading model of coronavirus with proposed epidemic models. Also, we have shown that informing people using impressive ways such as social networks and also preventing attempts done by the governments affects the transmission rate. So models which are formed based on static transmission rate are not applicable for disease with dynamic transmission rate.
基于动态传播因子流行模型的冠状病毒传播分析
由于病毒和流行病的数量不断增加,预测和控制流行病在当今人类生活中具有高度优先级。网络理论是建立流行病模型的有用工具。正如我们所看到的,已经对流感(N1H1病毒)等疾病提出了一些预测。在本文中,我们旨在比较冠状病毒的传播模型与提出的流行病模型。此外,我们已经证明,通过社交网络等令人印象深刻的方式告知人们,并阻止政府的企图,会影响传播速度。因此,基于静态传播率建立的模型不适用于具有动态传播率的疾病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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