A Descriptive Time Series Analysis Applied to the Fit of Carbon-Dioxide (CO2)

Abstract

The study examined the use of population spectrum in determining the nature (deterministic and stochastic) of trend and seasonal component of given time series. It also adopts the use of coefficient of variation approach in the choice of appropriate model in descriptive time series technique. Illustrations were carried out using average monthly atmospheric Carbon dioxide (C02) from 2000-2017 with 2018 used for forecast. Spectrum analysis showed that the descriptive technique of time series is more appropriate for analysis of the study data. The coefficient of variation revealed that the multiplicative model was appropriate for the CO2 data while the forecast and the actual values showed no significant mean difference at 5% level of significance.