Conceptualizing Escalation Dynamics in South Asia

Happymon Jacob
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Abstract

This chapter serves as the theoretical and conceptual basis of the book. The chapter discusses the classical views on escalation, followed by an analysis of the various debates on India–Pakistan escalation dynamics. The chapter thereafter examines the traditional understanding of the India–Pakistan escalation ladder. The chapter concludes by highlighting the missing link in the traditional understanding of the India–Pakistan escalation ladder, that is, the potency of ceasefire violations (CFVs) to trigger bilateral escalation. In short, the chapter argues that that escalation can and do begin from local factors rather than due to central directives, something the existing literature on South Asian escalation does not account for.
南亚升级动态的概念化
这一章是本书的理论和概念基础。本章讨论了关于升级的经典观点,然后分析了关于印巴升级动态的各种争论。本章随后考察了对印巴关系升级阶梯的传统理解。本章最后强调了对印巴升级阶梯的传统理解中缺失的一环,即违反停火协议(CFVs)引发双边升级的潜力。简而言之,本章认为,这种升级可以而且确实是从地方因素开始的,而不是由于中央指令,这是现有的关于南亚升级的文献没有考虑到的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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