Calendar Anomalies in the Russian Stock Market: Trends of the Recent Decade

Danila V. VAL'KO, Irina M. Vechkanova
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Importance The article discusses calendar anomalies (behavioral effects) in the Russian stock market and the so called Day-of-the-week effect and Monday effect. Objectives The research analyzes the Day-of-the-week effect and Monday effect, referring to 2007–2017 data of the Russian stock market and identifies behavioral differences between stock markets in Russia and economically developed countries. Methods The research employs a set of systemic methods, such as structural-logical and factor analysis. I analyze empirical patterns using standard statistical methods. Results Featuring abnormally low profitability on Wednesday, the Day-of-the-week effect also perseveres after the consolidation of trading platforms of the Moscow Exchange (MICEX) and Russian Trading System (RTS). In the mean time, although earlier studies captured the Friday effect, significantly high return has been recorded on Monday for the recent decade. Conclusions and Relevance The Russian stock market resembles those ones of the most developed countries in terms of the Day-of-the-week effect and other behavioral characteristics. However, the domestic stock market is subject to ratchet effects that are observed in ties with other financial centers and economic cycles as a whole. This explains why Friday and Monday effects switch to Monday and Wednesday respectively.
俄罗斯股票市场的日历异常:近十年的趋势
本文讨论了俄罗斯股票市场的日历异常(行为效应)以及所谓的星期效应和星期一效应。本研究参考2007-2017年俄罗斯股市数据,分析周中效应和周一效应,识别俄罗斯股市与经济发达国家股市的行为差异。方法采用结构逻辑分析、因子分析等系统的研究方法。我用标准的统计方法分析经验模式。结果:在莫斯科交易所(MICEX)和俄罗斯交易系统(RTS)的交易平台合并后,周三的盈利能力异常低,周中效应也持续存在。与此同时,尽管早期的研究捕捉到了周五效应,但近十年来,周一的回报率一直很高。结论和相关性俄罗斯股票市场在一周中的一天效应和其他行为特征方面类似于那些最发达国家的股票市场。但是,国内股市受到棘轮效应的影响,这与其他金融中心和经济周期的整体关系密切相关。这就解释了为什么星期五和星期一的效果分别切换到星期一和星期三。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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