Prediction of fish migration based on LSTM model

Yuanjie Jiao
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of fish migration with ocean temperature changes, this paper uses the LSTM model to predict the migration trajectory of the fish. Firstly, using the global ocean temperature data set to predict the most suitable ocean surface temperature for fish to survive, and setting a sampling point in the longitude direction of 54.05°N$\sim$60.05°N to obtain the ocean surface temperature of the area in the past 50 years, preparing for further forecast; Secondly, using the LSTM model to model the ocean surface temperature data and predict the ocean surface temperature in the next 50 years, thus deriving the suitable living area of fish for survival and regarding the area closest to this temperature as the current survival address of the fish. Finally, mapping out the migration route of the fish in the next 50 years. It is verified that this method has small errors, high reliability and accuracy, and can fit the migration route of fish schools well.
基于LSTM模型的鱼类迁移预测
针对海洋温度变化导致鱼类洄游的问题,采用LSTM模型对鱼类洄游轨迹进行预测。首先,利用全球海洋温度数据集预测最适合鱼类生存的海洋表面温度,并在经度54.05°N$\sim$60.05°N设置采样点,得到该区域近50年的海洋表面温度,为进一步预测做准备;其次,利用LSTM模型对海洋表面温度数据进行建模,预测未来50年的海洋表面温度,从而得出鱼类适合生存的生存区域,并将最接近该温度的区域作为鱼类当前的生存地址。最后,绘制出鱼在未来50年的迁徙路线。实验证明,该方法误差小,可靠性和准确性高,能很好地拟合鱼群的迁徙路线。
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