Depoliticizing Policy Reform: Non-Partisan Expert Cues and Public Opinion Change on Financial Regulation

Nathan M. Jensen, Rene Lindstaedt
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Abstract

The global financial crisis has increased pressures on governments to pursue wide-ranging banking reform, highlighting the importance of domestic responses to globalization. In this paper, we study mass policy preferences on banking reform as well as the change of those preferences in response to elite cues. Our paper makes two contributions. First, rather than focusing on the effect of partisan cues on mass policy preferences - a well-studied question in public opinion research - we explore the influence of non-partisan expert cues on mass policy preferences. Second, our study specifically focuses on the global dimension of banking regulation by eliciting opinions about global solutions (concerted reform efforts across countries) as well as domestic solutions (local reform efforts independent of those in other countries) to the banking crisis. We empirically address these questions by way of a survey experiment conducted in the United States in 2010. Based on our empirical findings, we can draw three conclusions. First, in the absence of cues, preferences on banking reform are almost exclusively driven by respondents' partisanship. Second, responsiveness to non-partisan expert cues is independent of partisanship. Finally, we find that the effect of non-partisan expert cues is conditional on political knowledge: while high knowledge individuals are less likely than low knowledge individuals to change their opinions on banking reform in response to ambiguous non-partisan expert cues, political knowledge does increase the likelihood of opinion change when the expert cue is unambiguous.
非政治化政策改革:无党派专家线索与金融监管的民意变化
全球金融危机加大了各国政府推行广泛银行业改革的压力,凸显出国内应对全球化的重要性。在本文中,我们研究了大众对银行改革的政策偏好,以及这些偏好在精英提示下的变化。我们的论文有两个贡献。首先,我们不是关注党派线索对大众政策偏好的影响——这是一个在民意研究中得到充分研究的问题——而是探讨无党派专家线索对大众政策偏好的影响。其次,我们的研究特别关注银行监管的全球维度,通过征求关于全球解决方案(各国协调一致的改革努力)以及国内解决方案(独立于其他国家的地方改革努力)的意见来解决银行危机。我们通过2010年在美国进行的一项调查实验,实证地解决了这些问题。根据我们的实证研究结果,我们可以得出三个结论。首先,在缺乏线索的情况下,对银行改革的偏好几乎完全是由受访者的党派关系驱动的。第二,对无党派专家提示的反应与党派无关。最后,我们发现无党派专家线索的影响是有条件的:虽然高知识个体比低知识个体更不可能对模糊的无党派专家线索改变其对银行改革的看法,但当专家线索是明确的时,政治知识确实增加了意见改变的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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