Quantitative evaluation of savings in outage costs by using emergency actions strategy

A. Akhtar, A. Zin, H. Shaibon, K. L. Lo
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Abstract

This paper presents the results of a study carried out to assess the savings in consumer outage costs that can be accrued as a result of implementing emergency actions strategy. The use of emergency actions strategy plays a significant role in curtailing the consumer outage costs ensuing from unreliable electric service. In order to calculate the savings in outage costs, the probabilistic framework of the frequency and duration method has been used in conjunction with emergency actions. At first, the outage costs of various consumer sectors are estimated without considering the emergency actions. Secondly, the consumer outage costs are calculated by combining the frequency and duration method, and unserved energy with the emergency actions invoked. The results of the savings in consumer outage costs that can be accrued by utilising emergency actions strategy are presented for a synthetic system. The results of the study show that substantial savings in consumer outage costs are obtained by devising and implementing emergency actions strategy in situations of capacity outages. The results are of particular relevance and utility to the underdeveloped and developing countries where capacity shortages occur quite frequently. These results also suggest the importance of emergency actions strategy for electric utilities in reducing the consumer economic losses arising from unreliable electric service.
采用应急行动策略定量评估停机成本节约
本文介绍了一项研究的结果,该研究旨在评估由于实施应急行动战略而可能累积的消费者停电成本节约。应急行动策略的使用在减少电力服务不可靠引起的用户停电成本方面起着重要作用。为了计算中断成本的节省,将频率和持续时间方法的概率框架与应急行动相结合。首先,在不考虑应急措施的情况下,估算各消费部门的停电成本。其次,采用频率和持续时间相结合的方法,将未服务的能量与所调用的紧急行动相结合,计算用户停电成本。通过使用应急行动策略,提出了一个综合系统的用户中断成本节约的结果。研究结果表明,在能力中断的情况下,通过制定和实施应急行动策略,可以节省大量的用户中断成本。其结果对经常发生能力短缺的不发达国家和发展中国家特别具有相关性和实用性。这些结果也表明应急行动策略对电力公司在减少因电力服务不可靠而引起的消费者经济损失方面的重要性。
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