COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF MARKET OVERREACTION IN INDONESIA AND SINGAPORE STOCK EXCHANGE 2016-2019

Mutia Meiliani, D. Puspita, M. Tarigan, A. F. Fathoni
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Abstract

This study aims to determine whether there is a market overreaction phenomenon in the Indonesia Stock Exchange which is classified as an emerging market and the Singapore Stock Exchange which is classified as a developed market. This research was conducted in a weekly period during 2016-2019. This study uses sample included in the LQ-45 index for the Indonesia Stock Exchange and the top 30 market cap for the Singapore Stock Exchange. This research found that there was a market overreaction in the Indonesia Stock Exchange, especially the loser portofolio which experienced the strongest reversal. Meanwhile, the significance value in the one sample t-test for the average cumulative abnormal return difference value is not significance. While the results of research on the Singapore Stock Exchange found no market overreaction phenomenon as indicated by a negative and insignificance average cumulative abnormal return difference. The result showed that the Indonesia Stock Exchange has not been efficient where investors tend to overreact in responding to information while investors on the Singapore Stock Exchange are rational.
2016-2019年印尼与新加坡证券交易所市场过度反应比较分析
本研究旨在确定被归类为新兴市场的印尼证券交易所和被归类为发达市场的新加坡证券交易所是否存在市场过度反应现象。该研究在2016-2019年期间每周进行一次。本研究使用印度尼西亚证券交易所LQ-45指数和新加坡证券交易所前30名市值的样本。本研究发现,印尼证券交易所存在市场过度反应,特别是亏损组合出现了最强的逆转。同时,平均累积异常收益差值在单样本t检验中的显著性值不显著。而在新加坡证券交易所的研究结果中,没有发现市场过度反应现象,表现为平均累积异常收益差为负且不显著。结果表明,印度尼西亚证券交易所的效率不高,投资者对信息的反应往往过度,而新加坡证券交易所的投资者是理性的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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