America’s decoupling from China narrative: development, determinants, and policy implications

Kerry Liu
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Abstract

America's decoupling from China debate started after July 2018, reached its peak in August 2020, and is likely to continue even if it may not be a high priority for the Biden administration. Many studies have examined various aspects of this topic. Unlike previous research, using Google Trends data, this study creatively created a high-frequency weekly dataset to measure the narrative of decoupling from China in the US. Based on this dataset from January 2020 to June 2021, three issues are examined from a novel perspective. First, this study provides a quantitative description of its development. Second, for the first time in the academic literature, this study provides empirical evidence on the determinants of the decoupling narrative, including Chinese trade, Chinese investment, Chinese students, Chinese technology, Chinese companies, and Covid-19. Third, this study also discusses the policy implications of these findings. In particular, if the US government wants to adopt an aggressive strategy of decoupling from China in the future, COVID-19 is one tool that could be used. While this study makes original contributions to policy-makers, it also contributes to academia by presenting a (still) new quantitative approach to international relations. [ FROM AUTHOR] Copyright of Journal of Information Technology & Politics is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full . (Copyright applies to all s.)
美国与中国的脱钩:发展、决定因素和政策影响
美国与中国的脱钩辩论始于2018年7月之后,在2020年8月达到顶峰,即使这不是拜登政府的优先事项,也可能会继续下去。许多研究都考察了这一主题的各个方面。与之前使用谷歌趋势数据的研究不同,本研究创造性地创建了一个高频每周数据集,以衡量美国与中国脱钩的说法。基于2020年1月至2021年6月的数据集,从一个新颖的角度研究了三个问题。首先,本研究对其发展进行了定量描述。其次,在学术文献中,本研究首次为脱钩叙事的决定因素提供了实证证据,包括中国贸易、中国投资、中国学生、中国技术、中国公司和Covid-19。第三,本研究还讨论了这些发现的政策含义。特别是,如果美国政府未来想要采取与中国积极脱钩的战略,新冠病毒是可以使用的工具之一。本研究为政策制定者做出了原创性的贡献,同时也为学术界做出了贡献,因为它提出了一种(仍然)新的国际关系定量方法。《信息技术与政治杂志》版权归Taylor & Francis有限公司所有,未经版权所有者明确书面许可,其内容不得复制或通过电子邮件发送到多个网站或发布到listserv。但是,用户可以打印、下载或通过电子邮件发送文章供个人使用。这可以删节。对副本的准确性不作任何保证。用户应参阅原始出版版本的材料的完整。(版权适用于所有人。)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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